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icon for Eleição para o Senado de Goiás: 2º Lugar

Eleição para o Senado de Goiás: 2º Lugar

icon for Eleição para o Senado de Goiás: 2º Lugar

Eleição para o Senado de Goiás: 2º Lugar

Gustavo Gayer 75%

Gracinha Caiado 15.4%

Dr. Zacharias Calil 11.8%

Gustavo Mendanha 4.5%

Polymarket

$38,790 Vol.

Gustavo Gayer 75%

Gracinha Caiado 15.4%

Dr. Zacharias Calil 11.8%

Gustavo Mendanha 4.5%

Polymarket

$38,790 Vol.

icon for Gustavo Gayer

Gustavo Gayer

$30,870 Vol.

75%

icon for Gracinha Caiado

Gracinha Caiado

$3,169 Vol.

15%

icon for Dr. Zacharias Calil

Dr. Zacharias Calil

$784 Vol.

10%

icon for Gustavo Mendanha

Gustavo Mendanha

$501 Vol.

4%

icon for Vanderlan Cardoso

Vanderlan Cardoso

$925 Vol.

3%

icon for Iure Castro

Iure Castro

$411 Vol.

<1%

icon for Cintia Dias

Cintia Dias

$538 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ernesto Roller

Ernesto Roller

$468 Vol.

<1%

icon for Oséias Varão

Oséias Varão

$358 Vol.

<1%

icon for Guilherme Darques

Guilherme Darques

$403 Vol.

<1%

icon for Isaura Lemos

Isaura Lemos

$363 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Goiás is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from Real Time Big Data (Sept. 17-21) shows Gracinha Caiado (União) leading consolidated first- and second-choice support at 23% for Goiás’s two Senate seats, with Gustavo Gayer (PL) at 20% and the next tier—Dr. Zacharias Calil (MDB) and Gustavo Mendanha (PRD)—at 12-13%. Earlier surveys from Quaest, Paraná Pesquisas, and IGAPE produced similar patterns, with Gayer repeatedly placing second or within the margin for that slot. The October 4 election timeline and voters’ ability to select two candidates reinforce this positioning, as lower-polling names face structural barriers to overtaking Gayer in the final weeks. Trader consensus therefore prices Gayer highest for second place while assigning far lower probabilities to the broader field.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Goiás is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Goiás is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$38,790
Data de Término
5 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:59 AM ET
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Goiás is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from Real Time Big Data (Sept. 17-21) shows Gracinha Caiado (União) leading consolidated first- and second-choice support at 23% for Goiás’s two Senate seats, with Gustavo Gayer (PL) at 20% and the next tier—Dr. Zacharias Calil (MDB) and Gustavo Mendanha (PRD)—at 12-13%. Earlier surveys from Quaest, Paraná Pesquisas, and IGAPE produced similar patterns, with Gayer repeatedly placing second or within the margin for that slot. The October 4 election timeline and voters’ ability to select two candidates reinforce this positioning, as lower-polling names face structural barriers to overtaking Gayer in the final weeks. Trader consensus therefore prices Gayer highest for second place while assigning far lower probabilities to the broader field.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Goiás is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Goiás is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$38,790
Data de Término
5 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:59 AM ET

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Eleição para o Senado de Goiás: 2º Lugar" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Gustavo Gayer" at 75%, followed by "Gracinha Caiado" at 15%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 75¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 75% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eleição para o Senado de Goiás: 2º Lugar" has generated $38.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eleição para o Senado de Goiás: 2º Lugar," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eleição para o Senado de Goiás: 2º Lugar" is "Gustavo Gayer" at 75%, meaning the market assigns a 75% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Gracinha Caiado" at 15%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eleição para o Senado de Goiás: 2º Lugar" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.