August Pfluger holds a commanding position in the TX-11 race because the district remains one of the most Republican-leaning in the country, with a partisan voting index favoring the GOP by double digits and consistent "Solid Republican" or "Safe Republican" ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. As incumbent, Pfluger secured his party's nomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary, raised over $3 million through June, and maintains strong ties to local energy and security priorities in areas such as the Permian Basin. Reynolds won the Democratic primary but trails sharply in fundraising and faces structural barriers in a seat that has delivered large Republican margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Pfluger aligns with these fundamentals; late developments such as a major scandal or national political realignment would be required to meaningfully shift the implied probability before the November 3 general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoTX-11 House Election Winner
TX-11 House Election Winner
$32,191 Wol.
$32,191 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
August Pfluger (R)
94%
Claire Reynolds (D)
6%
$32,191 Wol.
$32,191 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
August Pfluger (R)
$8,893 Wol.
94%
Claire Reynolds (D)
$23,298 Wol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).August Pfluger holds a commanding position in the TX-11 race because the district remains one of the most Republican-leaning in the country, with a partisan voting index favoring the GOP by double digits and consistent "Solid Republican" or "Safe Republican" ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. As incumbent, Pfluger secured his party's nomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary, raised over $3 million through June, and maintains strong ties to local energy and security priorities in areas such as the Permian Basin. Reynolds won the Democratic primary but trails sharply in fundraising and faces structural barriers in a seat that has delivered large Republican margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Pfluger aligns with these fundamentals; late developments such as a major scandal or national political realignment would be required to meaningfully shift the implied probability before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Wolumen
$32,191Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).August Pfluger holds a commanding position in the TX-11 race because the district remains one of the most Republican-leaning in the country, with a partisan voting index favoring the GOP by double digits and consistent "Solid Republican" or "Safe Republican" ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. As incumbent, Pfluger secured his party's nomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary, raised over $3 million through June, and maintains strong ties to local energy and security priorities in areas such as the Permian Basin. Reynolds won the Democratic primary but trails sharply in fundraising and faces structural barriers in a seat that has delivered large Republican margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Pfluger aligns with these fundamentals; late developments such as a major scandal or national political realignment would be required to meaningfully shift the implied probability before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$32,191Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...August Pfluger holds a commanding position in the TX-11 race because the district remains one of the most Republican-leaning in the country, with a partisan voting index favoring the GOP by double digits and consistent "Solid Republican" or "Safe Republican" ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. As incumbent, Pfluger secured his party's nomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary, raised over $3 million through June, and maintains strong ties to local energy and security priorities in areas such as the Permian Basin. Reynolds won the Democratic primary but trails sharply in fundraising and faces structural barriers in a seat that has delivered large Republican margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Pfluger aligns with these fundamentals; late developments such as a major scandal or national political realignment would be required to meaningfully shift the implied probability before the November 3 general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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