South Dakota's at-large congressional district has favored Republican candidates consistently since 2008, with nonpartisan ratings classifying the open seat as solidly or safely Republican ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Marty Jackley secured the GOP nomination in the June primary with 79 percent of the vote, leveraging his experience as state attorney general and prior statewide runs to consolidate support. Democrat Nikki Gronli advanced unopposed in her primary but faces structural challenges including limited fundraising and the state's partisan registration edge. Recent exchanges over federal voting rules have highlighted policy differences without shifting the broader landscape. An independent candidate appears on the ballot but draws minimal attention. Trader consensus at 95 percent for Jackley aligns with historical base rates and primary results, though unusually low turnout or an unforeseen late development could narrow the margin in this low-competition environment.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoSD-AL House Election Winner
SD-AL House Election Winner
$32,071 Wol.
$32,071 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Marty Jackley (R)
95%
Nikki Gronli (D)
3%
$32,071 Wol.
$32,071 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Marty Jackley (R)
$24,383 Wol.
95%
Nikki Gronli (D)
$7,688 Wol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Dakota's at-large congressional district has favored Republican candidates consistently since 2008, with nonpartisan ratings classifying the open seat as solidly or safely Republican ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Marty Jackley secured the GOP nomination in the June primary with 79 percent of the vote, leveraging his experience as state attorney general and prior statewide runs to consolidate support. Democrat Nikki Gronli advanced unopposed in her primary but faces structural challenges including limited fundraising and the state's partisan registration edge. Recent exchanges over federal voting rules have highlighted policy differences without shifting the broader landscape. An independent candidate appears on the ballot but draws minimal attention. Trader consensus at 95 percent for Jackley aligns with historical base rates and primary results, though unusually low turnout or an unforeseen late development could narrow the margin in this low-competition environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Wolumen
$32,071Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Dakota's at-large congressional district has favored Republican candidates consistently since 2008, with nonpartisan ratings classifying the open seat as solidly or safely Republican ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Marty Jackley secured the GOP nomination in the June primary with 79 percent of the vote, leveraging his experience as state attorney general and prior statewide runs to consolidate support. Democrat Nikki Gronli advanced unopposed in her primary but faces structural challenges including limited fundraising and the state's partisan registration edge. Recent exchanges over federal voting rules have highlighted policy differences without shifting the broader landscape. An independent candidate appears on the ballot but draws minimal attention. Trader consensus at 95 percent for Jackley aligns with historical base rates and primary results, though unusually low turnout or an unforeseen late development could narrow the margin in this low-competition environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$32,071Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...South Dakota's at-large congressional district has favored Republican candidates consistently since 2008, with nonpartisan ratings classifying the open seat as solidly or safely Republican ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Marty Jackley secured the GOP nomination in the June primary with 79 percent of the vote, leveraging his experience as state attorney general and prior statewide runs to consolidate support. Democrat Nikki Gronli advanced unopposed in her primary but faces structural challenges including limited fundraising and the state's partisan registration edge. Recent exchanges over federal voting rules have highlighted policy differences without shifting the broader landscape. An independent candidate appears on the ballot but draws minimal attention. Trader consensus at 95 percent for Jackley aligns with historical base rates and primary results, though unusually low turnout or an unforeseen late development could narrow the margin in this low-competition environment.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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