Incumbent Democrat Adam Smith advanced from Washington’s August 2026 top-two primary with roughly half the vote in the solidly Democratic 9th district, outpacing Republican Doug Basler and splitting progressive challengers. The Cook Political Report and other forecasters rate the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district’s D+22 partisan lean and repeated double-digit margins for Smith in prior cycles. Smith’s substantial fundraising lead and long tenure as ranking member on the House Armed Services Committee reinforce his position ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages, though late developments such as a major scandal or unexpected national political shift could still alter the outcome before ballots are counted.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWA-09 House Election Winner
WA-09 House Election Winner
$51,324 Wol.
$51,324 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Adam Smith (D)
96%
Doug Basler (R)
2%
$51,324 Wol.
$51,324 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Adam Smith (D)
$11,845 Wol.
96%
Doug Basler (R)
$39,479 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Adam Smith advanced from Washington’s August 2026 top-two primary with roughly half the vote in the solidly Democratic 9th district, outpacing Republican Doug Basler and splitting progressive challengers. The Cook Political Report and other forecasters rate the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district’s D+22 partisan lean and repeated double-digit margins for Smith in prior cycles. Smith’s substantial fundraising lead and long tenure as ranking member on the House Armed Services Committee reinforce his position ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages, though late developments such as a major scandal or unexpected national political shift could still alter the outcome before ballots are counted.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Wolumen
$51,324Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Adam Smith advanced from Washington’s August 2026 top-two primary with roughly half the vote in the solidly Democratic 9th district, outpacing Republican Doug Basler and splitting progressive challengers. The Cook Political Report and other forecasters rate the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district’s D+22 partisan lean and repeated double-digit margins for Smith in prior cycles. Smith’s substantial fundraising lead and long tenure as ranking member on the House Armed Services Committee reinforce his position ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages, though late developments such as a major scandal or unexpected national political shift could still alter the outcome before ballots are counted.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$51,324Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Adam Smith advanced from Washington’s August 2026 top-two primary with roughly half the vote in the solidly Democratic 9th district, outpacing Republican Doug Basler and splitting progressive challengers. The Cook Political Report and other forecasters rate the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district’s D+22 partisan lean and repeated double-digit margins for Smith in prior cycles. Smith’s substantial fundraising lead and long tenure as ranking member on the House Armed Services Committee reinforce his position ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages, though late developments such as a major scandal or unexpected national political shift could still alter the outcome before ballots are counted.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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