Amish Shah holds a clear edge in Arizona’s 1st Congressional District race because the open seat, vacated by Republican David Schweikert’s gubernatorial bid, sits in a narrowly Republican-leaning swing district where Shah fell just short in 2024. Traders appear to credit Shah’s July primary victory over the DCCC-backed candidate, his legislative record, and a late August endorsement from the Combined Law Enforcement Associations of Arizona with reinforcing his position as the stronger general-election candidate against political newcomer Jay Feely. Feely’s Trump endorsement and higher fundraising have kept his odds from collapsing, yet the market’s roughly 72-27 split reflects the view that the district’s modest partisan tilt and Shah’s prior near-miss give Democrats the more probable path to victory on November 3.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoAZ-01 House Election Winner
AZ-01 House Election Winner
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Amish Shah (D)
73%
Jay Feely (R)
27%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Amish Shah (D)
$6,835 Wol.
73%
Jay Feely (R)
$1,900 Wol.
27%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Amish Shah holds a clear edge in Arizona’s 1st Congressional District race because the open seat, vacated by Republican David Schweikert’s gubernatorial bid, sits in a narrowly Republican-leaning swing district where Shah fell just short in 2024. Traders appear to credit Shah’s July primary victory over the DCCC-backed candidate, his legislative record, and a late August endorsement from the Combined Law Enforcement Associations of Arizona with reinforcing his position as the stronger general-election candidate against political newcomer Jay Feely. Feely’s Trump endorsement and higher fundraising have kept his odds from collapsing, yet the market’s roughly 72-27 split reflects the view that the district’s modest partisan tilt and Shah’s prior near-miss give Democrats the more probable path to victory on November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Dec 16, 2025, 11:39 AM ET
Wolumen
$8,734Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 11:39 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Amish Shah holds a clear edge in Arizona’s 1st Congressional District race because the open seat, vacated by Republican David Schweikert’s gubernatorial bid, sits in a narrowly Republican-leaning swing district where Shah fell just short in 2024. Traders appear to credit Shah’s July primary victory over the DCCC-backed candidate, his legislative record, and a late August endorsement from the Combined Law Enforcement Associations of Arizona with reinforcing his position as the stronger general-election candidate against political newcomer Jay Feely. Feely’s Trump endorsement and higher fundraising have kept his odds from collapsing, yet the market’s roughly 72-27 split reflects the view that the district’s modest partisan tilt and Shah’s prior near-miss give Democrats the more probable path to victory on November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$8,734Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 11:39 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Amish Shah holds a clear edge in Arizona’s 1st Congressional District race because the open seat, vacated by Republican David Schweikert’s gubernatorial bid, sits in a narrowly Republican-leaning swing district where Shah fell just short in 2024. Traders appear to credit Shah’s July primary victory over the DCCC-backed candidate, his legislative record, and a late August endorsement from the Combined Law Enforcement Associations of Arizona with reinforcing his position as the stronger general-election candidate against political newcomer Jay Feely. Feely’s Trump endorsement and higher fundraising have kept his odds from collapsing, yet the market’s roughly 72-27 split reflects the view that the district’s modest partisan tilt and Shah’s prior near-miss give Democrats the more probable path to victory on November 3.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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