Louisiana's 6th Congressional District shifted to a solidly Republican seat after the state legislature redrew boundaries in response to the Supreme Court ruling in Louisiana v. Callais, removing its prior majority-Black configuration and anchoring the new district around Baton Rouge with voter registration and 2024 presidential voting patterns that strongly favor Republicans. Incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields opted not to run under the revised lines, leaving an open contest where Republican state senators Blake Miguez and Rick Edmonds lead a crowded jungle primary field set for November 3, with a possible December runoff. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican. Trader consensus at 93% for the Republican nominee reflects this structural advantage, though outcomes could shift if Republican vote fragmentation allows a Democrat to advance or if unexpected legal or turnout developments alter the November results.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLA-06 House Election Winner
LA-06 House Election Winner
$69,262 Wol.
$69,262 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
7%
$69,262 Wol.
$69,262 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$39,134 Wol.
93%
Democratic Party
$30,128 Wol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana's 6th Congressional District shifted to a solidly Republican seat after the state legislature redrew boundaries in response to the Supreme Court ruling in Louisiana v. Callais, removing its prior majority-Black configuration and anchoring the new district around Baton Rouge with voter registration and 2024 presidential voting patterns that strongly favor Republicans. Incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields opted not to run under the revised lines, leaving an open contest where Republican state senators Blake Miguez and Rick Edmonds lead a crowded jungle primary field set for November 3, with a possible December runoff. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican. Trader consensus at 93% for the Republican nominee reflects this structural advantage, though outcomes could shift if Republican vote fragmentation allows a Democrat to advance or if unexpected legal or turnout developments alter the November results.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Wolumen
$69,262Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana's 6th Congressional District shifted to a solidly Republican seat after the state legislature redrew boundaries in response to the Supreme Court ruling in Louisiana v. Callais, removing its prior majority-Black configuration and anchoring the new district around Baton Rouge with voter registration and 2024 presidential voting patterns that strongly favor Republicans. Incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields opted not to run under the revised lines, leaving an open contest where Republican state senators Blake Miguez and Rick Edmonds lead a crowded jungle primary field set for November 3, with a possible December runoff. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican. Trader consensus at 93% for the Republican nominee reflects this structural advantage, though outcomes could shift if Republican vote fragmentation allows a Democrat to advance or if unexpected legal or turnout developments alter the November results.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$69,262Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Louisiana's 6th Congressional District shifted to a solidly Republican seat after the state legislature redrew boundaries in response to the Supreme Court ruling in Louisiana v. Callais, removing its prior majority-Black configuration and anchoring the new district around Baton Rouge with voter registration and 2024 presidential voting patterns that strongly favor Republicans. Incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields opted not to run under the revised lines, leaving an open contest where Republican state senators Blake Miguez and Rick Edmonds lead a crowded jungle primary field set for November 3, with a possible December runoff. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican. Trader consensus at 93% for the Republican nominee reflects this structural advantage, though outcomes could shift if Republican vote fragmentation allows a Democrat to advance or if unexpected legal or turnout developments alter the November results.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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