The competitive 2026 Nebraska Senate race between incumbent Republican Pete Ricketts and independent challenger Dan Osborn, with recent polls showing them statistically tied or separated by low single digits, drives expectations for turnout in the 700,000–800,000 range. A Democratic nominee withdrew after the primary, consolidating opposition support behind Osborn and heightening voter engagement in a state where Republicans hold structural advantages. Midterm turnout historically falls well below the 965,000 votes cast in the 2024 presidential election but exceeds the 683,000 recorded in 2022, with early voting opening in early October and a tight contest potentially boosting participation among independents and base voters. Trader consensus on these bands reflects the race's Lean Republican rating alongside polling trends and Nebraska's registered voter base of roughly 1.22 million.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano750K-800K 46%
700K-750K 29%
800K-850K 16%
650K-700K 6.1%
<650K
5%
650K-700K
31%
700K-750K
29%
750K-800K
46%
800K-850K
16%
850K-900K
38%
900K+
6%
750K-800K 46%
700K-750K 29%
800K-850K 16%
650K-700K 6.1%
<650K
5%
650K-700K
31%
700K-750K
29%
750K-800K
46%
800K-850K
16%
850K-900K
38%
900K+
6%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Nebraska, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 18, 2026, 10:12 AM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Nebraska, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The competitive 2026 Nebraska Senate race between incumbent Republican Pete Ricketts and independent challenger Dan Osborn, with recent polls showing them statistically tied or separated by low single digits, drives expectations for turnout in the 700,000–800,000 range. A Democratic nominee withdrew after the primary, consolidating opposition support behind Osborn and heightening voter engagement in a state where Republicans hold structural advantages. Midterm turnout historically falls well below the 965,000 votes cast in the 2024 presidential election but exceeds the 683,000 recorded in 2022, with early voting opening in early October and a tight contest potentially boosting participation among independents and base voters. Trader consensus on these bands reflects the race's Lean Republican rating alongside polling trends and Nebraska's registered voter base of roughly 1.22 million.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano



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