Florida's 2026 U.S. Senate special election between Republican incumbent Ashley Moody and Democrat Angie Nixon features trader consensus clustered around 7.75 million to 8.25 million total votes cast, reflecting uncertainty over independent and no-party-affiliation mobilization in a state with roughly 13.4 million active registered voters. Primary results showed Republicans casting a disproportionate share of ballots amid overall participation near 25 percent, while Moody maintains a consistent polling lead and cash advantage heading into November 3. Midterm turnout will hinge on early and mail voting patterns, get-out-the-vote intensity among key demographics, and any late shifts in enthusiasm levels, with separation among the closely matched brackets likely driven by these factors rather than broad registration trends.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano8M-8.25M 34%
7.75M-8M 25.4%
7.5M-7.75M 11.5%
8.75M-9M 9%
<7M
1%
7M-7.25M
1%
7.25M-7.5M
6%
7.5M-7.75M
12%
7.75M-8M
25%
8M-8.25M
34%
8.25M-8.5M
8%
8.5M-8.75M
3%
8.75M-9M
9%
9M+
5%
8M-8.25M 34%
7.75M-8M 25.4%
7.5M-7.75M 11.5%
8.75M-9M 9%
<7M
1%
7M-7.25M
1%
7.25M-7.5M
6%
7.5M-7.75M
12%
7.75M-8M
25%
8M-8.25M
34%
8.25M-8.5M
8%
8.5M-8.75M
3%
8.75M-9M
9%
9M+
5%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 18, 2026, 10:06 AM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Florida's 2026 U.S. Senate special election between Republican incumbent Ashley Moody and Democrat Angie Nixon features trader consensus clustered around 7.75 million to 8.25 million total votes cast, reflecting uncertainty over independent and no-party-affiliation mobilization in a state with roughly 13.4 million active registered voters. Primary results showed Republicans casting a disproportionate share of ballots amid overall participation near 25 percent, while Moody maintains a consistent polling lead and cash advantage heading into November 3. Midterm turnout will hinge on early and mail voting patterns, get-out-the-vote intensity among key demographics, and any late shifts in enthusiasm levels, with separation among the closely matched brackets likely driven by these factors rather than broad registration trends.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano



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