The closely matched probabilities between the 350K-400K and 400K-450K turnout buckets reflect Rhode Island’s low-competition U.S. Senate contest, where incumbent Democrat Jack Reed holds a wide lead over Republican Raymond McKay in a solidly blue state. Limited campaign intensity and minimal voter mobilization efforts typical of safe seats have kept expectations moderate, consistent with historical midterm patterns and recent primary participation rates below 10 percent in prior cycles. Other statewide races, including the gubernatorial contest, and expanded early voting options could still lift overall participation by November 3, while factors such as weather or last-minute issue salience remain potential variables that might separate the leading ranges.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano400K-450K 37%
350K-400K 33.2%
300K-350K 14%
250K-300K 2.3%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
<250K
2%
250K-300K
2%
300K-350K
14%
350K-400K
33%
400K-450K
37%
450K+
2%
400K-450K 37%
350K-400K 33.2%
300K-350K 14%
250K-300K 2.3%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
<250K
$966 Wol.
2%
250K-300K
$905 Wol.
2%
300K-350K
$624 Wol.
14%
350K-400K
$21 Wol.
33%
400K-450K
$20 Wol.
37%
450K+
$1,491 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely matched probabilities between the 350K-400K and 400K-450K turnout buckets reflect Rhode Island’s low-competition U.S. Senate contest, where incumbent Democrat Jack Reed holds a wide lead over Republican Raymond McKay in a solidly blue state. Limited campaign intensity and minimal voter mobilization efforts typical of safe seats have kept expectations moderate, consistent with historical midterm patterns and recent primary participation rates below 10 percent in prior cycles. Other statewide races, including the gubernatorial contest, and expanded early voting options could still lift overall participation by November 3, while factors such as weather or last-minute issue salience remain potential variables that might separate the leading ranges.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 18, 2026, 10:22 AM ET
Wolumen
$4,028Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 18, 2026, 10:22 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely matched probabilities between the 350K-400K and 400K-450K turnout buckets reflect Rhode Island’s low-competition U.S. Senate contest, where incumbent Democrat Jack Reed holds a wide lead over Republican Raymond McKay in a solidly blue state. Limited campaign intensity and minimal voter mobilization efforts typical of safe seats have kept expectations moderate, consistent with historical midterm patterns and recent primary participation rates below 10 percent in prior cycles. Other statewide races, including the gubernatorial contest, and expanded early voting options could still lift overall participation by November 3, while factors such as weather or last-minute issue salience remain potential variables that might separate the leading ranges.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$4,028Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 18, 2026, 10:22 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched probabilities between the 350K-400K and 400K-450K turnout buckets reflect Rhode Island’s low-competition U.S. Senate contest, where incumbent Democrat Jack Reed holds a wide lead over Republican Raymond McKay in a solidly blue state. Limited campaign intensity and minimal voter mobilization efforts typical of safe seats have kept expectations moderate, consistent with historical midterm patterns and recent primary participation rates below 10 percent in prior cycles. Other statewide races, including the gubernatorial contest, and expanded early voting options could still lift overall participation by November 3, while factors such as weather or last-minute issue salience remain potential variables that might separate the leading ranges.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoPowiązane
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