The closely contested Wisconsin gubernatorial race between Democrat David Crowley and Republican Tom Tiffany, rated a toss-up or lean Democratic by analysts with recent polls showing margins under four points, anchors trader expectations for turnout in the 2.6M-2.8M range. Elevated Democratic primary participation of 792,000 votes, or 27.2% of the voting-age population, exceeded recent cycles and reflects base mobilization amid candidate shifts and independent engagement. Historical patterns of higher participation in tight statewide contests, combined with ongoing early voting access and no major late developments altering momentum as of early September, sustain consensus around these moderate-to-strong midterm levels while leaving room for shifts from final mobilization efforts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWisconsin Governor Election: Turnout
Wisconsin Governor Election: Turnout
2.6M-2.8M 47%
2.8M-3M 30%
2.4M-2.6M 17%
3.2M+ 4.1%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
<2.2M
2%
2.2M-2.4M
2%
2.4M-2.6M
17%
2.6M-2.8M
50%
2.8M-3M
30%
3M-3.2M
12%
3.2M+
4%
2.6M-2.8M 47%
2.8M-3M 30%
2.4M-2.6M 17%
3.2M+ 4.1%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
<2.2M
$264 Wol.
2%
2.2M-2.4M
$1,225 Wol.
2%
2.4M-2.6M
$264 Wol.
17%
2.6M-2.8M
$1,199 Wol.
50%
2.8M-3M
$1,624 Wol.
30%
3M-3.2M
$313 Wol.
12%
3.2M+
$1,426 Wol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely contested Wisconsin gubernatorial race between Democrat David Crowley and Republican Tom Tiffany, rated a toss-up or lean Democratic by analysts with recent polls showing margins under four points, anchors trader expectations for turnout in the 2.6M-2.8M range. Elevated Democratic primary participation of 792,000 votes, or 27.2% of the voting-age population, exceeded recent cycles and reflects base mobilization amid candidate shifts and independent engagement. Historical patterns of higher participation in tight statewide contests, combined with ongoing early voting access and no major late developments altering momentum as of early September, sustain consensus around these moderate-to-strong midterm levels while leaving room for shifts from final mobilization efforts.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ET
Wolumen
$6,314Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely contested Wisconsin gubernatorial race between Democrat David Crowley and Republican Tom Tiffany, rated a toss-up or lean Democratic by analysts with recent polls showing margins under four points, anchors trader expectations for turnout in the 2.6M-2.8M range. Elevated Democratic primary participation of 792,000 votes, or 27.2% of the voting-age population, exceeded recent cycles and reflects base mobilization amid candidate shifts and independent engagement. Historical patterns of higher participation in tight statewide contests, combined with ongoing early voting access and no major late developments altering momentum as of early September, sustain consensus around these moderate-to-strong midterm levels while leaving room for shifts from final mobilization efforts.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$6,314Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The closely contested Wisconsin gubernatorial race between Democrat David Crowley and Republican Tom Tiffany, rated a toss-up or lean Democratic by analysts with recent polls showing margins under four points, anchors trader expectations for turnout in the 2.6M-2.8M range. Elevated Democratic primary participation of 792,000 votes, or 27.2% of the voting-age population, exceeded recent cycles and reflects base mobilization amid candidate shifts and independent engagement. Historical patterns of higher participation in tight statewide contests, combined with ongoing early voting access and no major late developments altering momentum as of early September, sustain consensus around these moderate-to-strong midterm levels while leaving room for shifts from final mobilization efforts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoPowiązane
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