The open gubernatorial race, with term-limited Republican Bill Lee leaving office, stands as the main catalyst elevating expected turnout in Tennessee’s November 3, 2026, election above typical midterm levels in a state that historically ranks near the bottom nationally. Traders have concentrated probabilities on the 1.8–2.2 million vote range because an open governor contest has historically added several percentage points to participation, yet the solidly Republican Senate matchup between incumbent Bill Hagerty and Democrat Marquita Bradshaw limits broader mobilization and enthusiasm. Recent August primaries confirmed Hagerty’s unopposed path and Bradshaw’s nomination, reinforcing the race’s safe-Republican status and leaving turnout sensitive to any late shifts in voter engagement or down-ballot dynamics.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano2M-2.2M 44%
1.8M-2M 39.3%
1.6M-1.8M 11.1%
2.2M-2.4M 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
<1.6M
1%
1.6M-1.8M
11%
1.8M-2M
39%
2M-2.2M
44%
2.2M-2.4M
9%
2.4M-2.6M
3%
2.6M+
2%
2M-2.2M 44%
1.8M-2M 39.3%
1.6M-1.8M 11.1%
2.2M-2.4M 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
<1.6M
$1,129 Wol.
1%
1.6M-1.8M
$1,787 Wol.
11%
1.8M-2M
$1,782 Wol.
39%
2M-2.2M
$1,600 Wol.
44%
2.2M-2.4M
$809 Wol.
9%
2.4M-2.6M
$824 Wol.
3%
2.6M+
$1,476 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The open gubernatorial race, with term-limited Republican Bill Lee leaving office, stands as the main catalyst elevating expected turnout in Tennessee’s November 3, 2026, election above typical midterm levels in a state that historically ranks near the bottom nationally. Traders have concentrated probabilities on the 1.8–2.2 million vote range because an open governor contest has historically added several percentage points to participation, yet the solidly Republican Senate matchup between incumbent Bill Hagerty and Democrat Marquita Bradshaw limits broader mobilization and enthusiasm. Recent August primaries confirmed Hagerty’s unopposed path and Bradshaw’s nomination, reinforcing the race’s safe-Republican status and leaving turnout sensitive to any late shifts in voter engagement or down-ballot dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 18, 2026, 10:22 AM ET
Wolumen
$9,407Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 18, 2026, 10:22 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The open gubernatorial race, with term-limited Republican Bill Lee leaving office, stands as the main catalyst elevating expected turnout in Tennessee’s November 3, 2026, election above typical midterm levels in a state that historically ranks near the bottom nationally. Traders have concentrated probabilities on the 1.8–2.2 million vote range because an open governor contest has historically added several percentage points to participation, yet the solidly Republican Senate matchup between incumbent Bill Hagerty and Democrat Marquita Bradshaw limits broader mobilization and enthusiasm. Recent August primaries confirmed Hagerty’s unopposed path and Bradshaw’s nomination, reinforcing the race’s safe-Republican status and leaving turnout sensitive to any late shifts in voter engagement or down-ballot dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$9,407Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 18, 2026, 10:22 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The open gubernatorial race, with term-limited Republican Bill Lee leaving office, stands as the main catalyst elevating expected turnout in Tennessee’s November 3, 2026, election above typical midterm levels in a state that historically ranks near the bottom nationally. Traders have concentrated probabilities on the 1.8–2.2 million vote range because an open governor contest has historically added several percentage points to participation, yet the solidly Republican Senate matchup between incumbent Bill Hagerty and Democrat Marquita Bradshaw limits broader mobilization and enthusiasm. Recent August primaries confirmed Hagerty’s unopposed path and Bradshaw’s nomination, reinforcing the race’s safe-Republican status and leaving turnout sensitive to any late shifts in voter engagement or down-ballot dynamics.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoPowiązane
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