Colorado's universal mail-in voting system, which drove over 98% of June primary ballots and supports high participation among roughly 4 million active voters, anchors trader expectations for the November 3 general election. The U.S. Senate contest's Safe Democratic rating, with incumbent John Hickenlooper facing limited opposition after a low-key Republican primary, reduces national polarization and mobilization incentives compared with tighter races. Primary turnout near 36% provides a recent benchmark, while historical midterm rates around 58% of eligible voters, adjusted for population growth and early voting volume, point to total ballots in the 2.4M–2.85M range. Unaffiliated voter engagement and any late-cycle demographic outreach remain key variables that could shift final counts within the leading outcome buckets.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano2.55M-2.7M 40%
2.4M-2.55M 25%
2.7M-2.85M 25%
2.85M-3M 6.4%
<2.1M
1%
2.1M-2.25M
3%
2.25M-2.4M
4%
2.4M-2.55M
25%
2.55M-2.7M
40%
2.7M-2.85M
25%
2.85M-3M
6%
3M+
1%
2.55M-2.7M 40%
2.4M-2.55M 25%
2.7M-2.85M 25%
2.85M-3M 6.4%
<2.1M
1%
2.1M-2.25M
3%
2.25M-2.4M
4%
2.4M-2.55M
25%
2.55M-2.7M
40%
2.7M-2.85M
25%
2.85M-3M
6%
3M+
1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Colorado, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 18, 2026, 10:07 AM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Colorado, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Colorado's universal mail-in voting system, which drove over 98% of June primary ballots and supports high participation among roughly 4 million active voters, anchors trader expectations for the November 3 general election. The U.S. Senate contest's Safe Democratic rating, with incumbent John Hickenlooper facing limited opposition after a low-key Republican primary, reduces national polarization and mobilization incentives compared with tighter races. Primary turnout near 36% provides a recent benchmark, while historical midterm rates around 58% of eligible voters, adjusted for population growth and early voting volume, point to total ballots in the 2.4M–2.85M range. Unaffiliated voter engagement and any late-cycle demographic outreach remain key variables that could shift final counts within the leading outcome buckets.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoPowiązane
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming be between 190,000 and 210,000?
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,650,000 and 4,800,000?
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas be between 10,000,000 and 10,400,000?
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania