The closely contested 2026 Nevada gubernatorial race between Republican incumbent Joe Lombardo and Democratic challenger Aaron Ford, rated a tossup or lean Republican by multiple forecasters, supports trader consensus around 1.125M–1.2M total ballots as the leading outcome. This range aligns with historical patterns for non-presidential gubernatorial elections, which typically fall between presidential-year highs near 1.4M and lower midterm levels around 1M. Recent primary results in June, sustained polling tightness, and national attention on the race as one of the cycle’s most competitive governor contests could lift participation through higher voter interest and mobilization. Nevada’s expanding registered voter base and established early and mail voting options provide further structural support for turnout in this band, while broader economic and state-level issues shape engagement without clear signs of unusually high or suppressed mobilization as of mid-September.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano1.125M-1.2M 45%
1.05M-1.125M 36%
1.2M-1.275M 10.4%
900K-975K 7%
$11,690 Wol.
$11,690 Wol.
<900K
4%
900K-975K
7%
975K-1.05M
7%
1.05M-1.125M
36%
1.125M-1.2M
45%
1.2M-1.275M
10%
1.275M-1.35M
<1%
1.35M+
<1%
1.125M-1.2M 45%
1.05M-1.125M 36%
1.2M-1.275M 10.4%
900K-975K 7%
$11,690 Wol.
$11,690 Wol.
<900K
4%
900K-975K
7%
975K-1.05M
7%
1.05M-1.125M
36%
1.125M-1.2M
45%
1.2M-1.275M
10%
1.275M-1.35M
<1%
1.35M+
<1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 18, 2026, 10:12 AM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The closely contested 2026 Nevada gubernatorial race between Republican incumbent Joe Lombardo and Democratic challenger Aaron Ford, rated a tossup or lean Republican by multiple forecasters, supports trader consensus around 1.125M–1.2M total ballots as the leading outcome. This range aligns with historical patterns for non-presidential gubernatorial elections, which typically fall between presidential-year highs near 1.4M and lower midterm levels around 1M. Recent primary results in June, sustained polling tightness, and national attention on the race as one of the cycle’s most competitive governor contests could lift participation through higher voter interest and mobilization. Nevada’s expanding registered voter base and established early and mail voting options provide further structural support for turnout in this band, while broader economic and state-level issues shape engagement without clear signs of unusually high or suppressed mobilization as of mid-September.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano



Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania