Louisiana’s 1st congressional district carries a strong Republican partisan lean, reflected in its R+19 to R+20 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Steve Scalise, the House Majority Leader first elected in 2008, faces limited primary opposition from Randall Arrington and a Democratic challenger in Lauren Jewett who trails sharply in fundraising. All major race ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 nonpartisan primary. Trader consensus assigns Republicans a commanding implied probability because structural advantages in voter registration, historical turnout patterns, and Scalise’s institutional position have proven durable. A late scandal, health development, or unforeseen primary consolidation against the incumbent could still shift outcomes before the December 12 runoff.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLA-01 House Election Winner
LA-01 House Election Winner
$52,223 Wol.
$52,223 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
96%
Democratic Party
5%
$52,223 Wol.
$52,223 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$22,399 Wol.
96%
Democratic Party
$29,823 Wol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana’s 1st congressional district carries a strong Republican partisan lean, reflected in its R+19 to R+20 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Steve Scalise, the House Majority Leader first elected in 2008, faces limited primary opposition from Randall Arrington and a Democratic challenger in Lauren Jewett who trails sharply in fundraising. All major race ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 nonpartisan primary. Trader consensus assigns Republicans a commanding implied probability because structural advantages in voter registration, historical turnout patterns, and Scalise’s institutional position have proven durable. A late scandal, health development, or unforeseen primary consolidation against the incumbent could still shift outcomes before the December 12 runoff.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Wolumen
$52,223Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana’s 1st congressional district carries a strong Republican partisan lean, reflected in its R+19 to R+20 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Steve Scalise, the House Majority Leader first elected in 2008, faces limited primary opposition from Randall Arrington and a Democratic challenger in Lauren Jewett who trails sharply in fundraising. All major race ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 nonpartisan primary. Trader consensus assigns Republicans a commanding implied probability because structural advantages in voter registration, historical turnout patterns, and Scalise’s institutional position have proven durable. A late scandal, health development, or unforeseen primary consolidation against the incumbent could still shift outcomes before the December 12 runoff.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$52,223Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Louisiana’s 1st congressional district carries a strong Republican partisan lean, reflected in its R+19 to R+20 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Steve Scalise, the House Majority Leader first elected in 2008, faces limited primary opposition from Randall Arrington and a Democratic challenger in Lauren Jewett who trails sharply in fundraising. All major race ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 nonpartisan primary. Trader consensus assigns Republicans a commanding implied probability because structural advantages in voter registration, historical turnout patterns, and Scalise’s institutional position have proven durable. A late scandal, health development, or unforeseen primary consolidation against the incumbent could still shift outcomes before the December 12 runoff.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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