Trump’s continued tenure through early 2027 rests on Republican majorities in Congress that block any realistic path to conviction on impeachment articles, which Democratic lawmakers have introduced repeatedly without advancing beyond the House. The vice president and Cabinet have shown no inclination to invoke the 25th Amendment despite scattered calls tied to the president’s age and public statements during the Iran conflict. Midterm elections scheduled for November 2026 could shift House control, yet even a Democratic majority would face steep Senate hurdles for removal before the 2027 threshold. Official actions, including executive orders on immigration, tariffs, and sanctions, along with routine White House announcements through September 2026, indicate uninterrupted exercise of presidential authority with no resignation signals or health-related incapacity determinations. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent against early departure aligns with these institutional and political barriers.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoTak
6% szansa
$11,451,030 Wol.
$11,451,030 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
Tak
6% szansa
$11,451,030 Wol.
$11,451,030 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump’s continued tenure through early 2027 rests on Republican majorities in Congress that block any realistic path to conviction on impeachment articles, which Democratic lawmakers have introduced repeatedly without advancing beyond the House. The vice president and Cabinet have shown no inclination to invoke the 25th Amendment despite scattered calls tied to the president’s age and public statements during the Iran conflict. Midterm elections scheduled for November 2026 could shift House control, yet even a Democratic majority would face steep Senate hurdles for removal before the 2027 threshold. Official actions, including executive orders on immigration, tariffs, and sanctions, along with routine White House announcements through September 2026, indicate uninterrupted exercise of presidential authority with no resignation signals or health-related incapacity determinations. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent against early departure aligns with these institutional and political barriers.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ET
Wolumen
$11,451,030Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump’s continued tenure through early 2027 rests on Republican majorities in Congress that block any realistic path to conviction on impeachment articles, which Democratic lawmakers have introduced repeatedly without advancing beyond the House. The vice president and Cabinet have shown no inclination to invoke the 25th Amendment despite scattered calls tied to the president’s age and public statements during the Iran conflict. Midterm elections scheduled for November 2026 could shift House control, yet even a Democratic majority would face steep Senate hurdles for removal before the 2027 threshold. Official actions, including executive orders on immigration, tariffs, and sanctions, along with routine White House announcements through September 2026, indicate uninterrupted exercise of presidential authority with no resignation signals or health-related incapacity determinations. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent against early departure aligns with these institutional and political barriers.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$11,451,030Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...Trump’s continued tenure through early 2027 rests on Republican majorities in Congress that block any realistic path to conviction on impeachment articles, which Democratic lawmakers have introduced repeatedly without advancing beyond the House. The vice president and Cabinet have shown no inclination to invoke the 25th Amendment despite scattered calls tied to the president’s age and public statements during the Iran conflict. Midterm elections scheduled for November 2026 could shift House control, yet even a Democratic majority would face steep Senate hurdles for removal before the 2027 threshold. Official actions, including executive orders on immigration, tariffs, and sanctions, along with routine White House announcements through September 2026, indicate uninterrupted exercise of presidential authority with no resignation signals or health-related incapacity determinations. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent against early departure aligns with these institutional and political barriers.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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