The closed primary format, approved by PS members in July over Olivier Faure’s preferred open approach, restricts voting to party adherents and allied groups like Place Publique, concentrating influence among established networks. Raphaël Glucksmann enters as the leading contender following his Place Publique role and cross-party visibility, leaving a fragmented contest for second place among Faure, Ségolène Royal, Philippe Brun, and Jérôme Guedj. Recent candidate declarations through early September, including Royal’s confirmation of sufficient sponsorships and Faure’s late-August announcement, have kept probabilities tightly grouped near 40 percent for several contenders. September debates and any shifts in internal endorsements or turnout mobilization could widen gaps before the October 9–10 first round.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoSégolène Royal 43%
Olivier Faure 42%
Philippe Brun 39%
Jérôme Guedj 36%
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 10, 2026
Ségolène Royal
43%
Olivier Faure
42%
Philippe Brun
39%
Jérôme Guedj
36%
Raphaël Glucksmann
25%
Emmanuel Maurel
24%
Ségolène Royal 43%
Olivier Faure 42%
Philippe Brun 39%
Jérôme Guedj 36%
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 10, 2026
Ségolène Royal
$0 Wol.
43%
Olivier Faure
$0 Wol.
42%
Philippe Brun
$0 Wol.
39%
Jérôme Guedj
$0 Wol.
36%
Raphaël Glucksmann
$0 Wol.
25%
Emmanuel Maurel
$0 Wol.
24%
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.
This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the second-greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.
If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.The closed primary format, approved by PS members in July over Olivier Faure’s preferred open approach, restricts voting to party adherents and allied groups like Place Publique, concentrating influence among established networks. Raphaël Glucksmann enters as the leading contender following his Place Publique role and cross-party visibility, leaving a fragmented contest for second place among Faure, Ségolène Royal, Philippe Brun, and Jérôme Guedj. Recent candidate declarations through early September, including Royal’s confirmation of sufficient sponsorships and Faure’s late-August announcement, have kept probabilities tightly grouped near 40 percent for several contenders. September debates and any shifts in internal endorsements or turnout mobilization could widen gaps before the October 9–10 first round.
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.
This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the second-greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.
If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the second-greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.
If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 9, 2026, 6:27 PM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Oct 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 9, 2026, 6:27 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.
This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the second-greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.
If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.The closed primary format, approved by PS members in July over Olivier Faure’s preferred open approach, restricts voting to party adherents and allied groups like Place Publique, concentrating influence among established networks. Raphaël Glucksmann enters as the leading contender following his Place Publique role and cross-party visibility, leaving a fragmented contest for second place among Faure, Ségolène Royal, Philippe Brun, and Jérôme Guedj. Recent candidate declarations through early September, including Royal’s confirmation of sufficient sponsorships and Faure’s late-August announcement, have kept probabilities tightly grouped near 40 percent for several contenders. September debates and any shifts in internal endorsements or turnout mobilization could widen gaps before the October 9–10 first round.
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.
This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the second-greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.
If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the second-greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.
If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Oct 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 9, 2026, 6:27 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The closed primary format, approved by PS members in July over Olivier Faure’s preferred open approach, restricts voting to party adherents and allied groups like Place Publique, concentrating influence among established networks. Raphaël Glucksmann enters as the leading contender following his Place Publique role and cross-party visibility, leaving a fragmented contest for second place among Faure, Ségolène Royal, Philippe Brun, and Jérôme Guedj. Recent candidate declarations through early September, including Royal’s confirmation of sufficient sponsorships and Faure’s late-August announcement, have kept probabilities tightly grouped near 40 percent for several contenders. September debates and any shifts in internal endorsements or turnout mobilization could widen gaps before the October 9–10 first round.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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