Louisiana's 2nd Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its D+17 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, including the incumbent's 60.3% share in 2024. Incumbent Democrat Troy Carter faces limited opposition in the November 3, 2026 jungle primary, with Democratic challengers and minimal Republican filing activity that has left the seat effectively uncontested by the opposing party. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the race Safe or Solid Democratic. Trader consensus at 98.6% for the Democratic Party aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive Republican candidates or late-cycle disruptions. A major scandal, health event affecting the leading Democrat, or unprecedented turnout shift could still alter the outcome before the December 12 runoff if needed.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLA-02 House Election Winner
LA-02 House Election Winner
$61,261 Wol.
$61,261 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
99%
Republican Party
1%
$61,261 Wol.
$61,261 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$34,835 Wol.
99%
Republican Party
$26,426 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana's 2nd Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its D+17 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, including the incumbent's 60.3% share in 2024. Incumbent Democrat Troy Carter faces limited opposition in the November 3, 2026 jungle primary, with Democratic challengers and minimal Republican filing activity that has left the seat effectively uncontested by the opposing party. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the race Safe or Solid Democratic. Trader consensus at 98.6% for the Democratic Party aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive Republican candidates or late-cycle disruptions. A major scandal, health event affecting the leading Democrat, or unprecedented turnout shift could still alter the outcome before the December 12 runoff if needed.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Wolumen
$61,261Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana's 2nd Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its D+17 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, including the incumbent's 60.3% share in 2024. Incumbent Democrat Troy Carter faces limited opposition in the November 3, 2026 jungle primary, with Democratic challengers and minimal Republican filing activity that has left the seat effectively uncontested by the opposing party. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the race Safe or Solid Democratic. Trader consensus at 98.6% for the Democratic Party aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive Republican candidates or late-cycle disruptions. A major scandal, health event affecting the leading Democrat, or unprecedented turnout shift could still alter the outcome before the December 12 runoff if needed.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$61,261Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Louisiana's 2nd Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its D+17 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, including the incumbent's 60.3% share in 2024. Incumbent Democrat Troy Carter faces limited opposition in the November 3, 2026 jungle primary, with Democratic challengers and minimal Republican filing activity that has left the seat effectively uncontested by the opposing party. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the race Safe or Solid Democratic. Trader consensus at 98.6% for the Democratic Party aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive Republican candidates or late-cycle disruptions. A major scandal, health event affecting the leading Democrat, or unprecedented turnout shift could still alter the outcome before the December 12 runoff if needed.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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