Trump's long-standing pattern of personal attacks in public statements, Truth Social posts, and rally speeches continues to shape trader views on markets tracking whether he will insult someone on a given day. As of early September 2026, recent examples include direct criticisms of CNN's Kaitlan Collins as "very dumb and unhappy" and "3rd rate," remarks labeling New York Times reporter Maggie Haberman "unattractive both inside and out," and rally comments directing strong language at Rep. Ilhan Omar. These align with ongoing exchanges involving media coverage of his events, midterm campaigning, and foreign policy references such as the Iran situation. Scheduled appearances at the GOP midterm convention and additional rallies in the coming days provide further opportunities for public remarks that could influence short-term probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$36,101 Vol.
9月3日
69%
9月9日
99%
9月10日
94%
9月11日
46%
9月12日
84%
9月13日
86%
9月14日
87%
9月15日
84%
9月16日
82%
9月17日
73%
9月18日
89%
9月19日
60%
9月20日
84%
9月21日
89%
9月22日
69%
9月23日
59%
9月24日
78%
9月25日
62%
9月26日
86%
9月27日
88%
9月28日
88%
9月29日
87%
9月30日
70%
$36,101 Vol.
9月3日
69%
9月9日
99%
9月10日
94%
9月11日
46%
9月12日
84%
9月13日
86%
9月14日
87%
9月15日
84%
9月16日
82%
9月17日
73%
9月18日
89%
9月19日
60%
9月20日
84%
9月21日
89%
9月22日
69%
9月23日
59%
9月24日
78%
9月25日
62%
9月26日
86%
9月27日
88%
9月28日
88%
9月29日
87%
9月30日
70%
A qualifying public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available on the specified date (ET). Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify.
A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at the individual within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日: Sep 2, 2026, 5:16 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x65070BE91...A qualifying public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available on the specified date (ET). Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify.
A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at the individual within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.
リゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Trump's long-standing pattern of personal attacks in public statements, Truth Social posts, and rally speeches continues to shape trader views on markets tracking whether he will insult someone on a given day. As of early September 2026, recent examples include direct criticisms of CNN's Kaitlan Collins as "very dumb and unhappy" and "3rd rate," remarks labeling New York Times reporter Maggie Haberman "unattractive both inside and out," and rally comments directing strong language at Rep. Ilhan Omar. These align with ongoing exchanges involving media coverage of his events, midterm campaigning, and foreign policy references such as the Iran situation. Scheduled appearances at the GOP midterm convention and additional rallies in the coming days provide further opportunities for public remarks that could influence short-term probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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