Recent polling aggregates from sources such as RealClearPolitics, the New York Times, and Nate Silver’s models place President Trump’s job approval in the high 30s as of early September 2026, aligning with trader emphasis on the 38.0–38.4 range. Persistent voter dissatisfaction with the economy, cost-of-living pressures, and the protracted Iran conflict—factors that have weighed on ratings throughout the second term—continue to anchor numbers below 40 percent in most surveys. Rasmussen Reports recently showed a higher 42 percent figure, while Economist/YouGov and FT/Focaldata tracking registered 33–35 percent, illustrating typical pollster variation that markets price into tight bins around 38. With September 11 falling amid stable midterm-season conditions and no immediate catalysts expected to shift sentiment sharply, current consensus reflects these steady trends.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日38.0〜38.4 44%
38.5〜38.9 30%
37.5〜37.9 11%
39.0〜39.4 10%
新規
新規
2026/09/11
37.5未満
<1%
37.5〜37.9
11%
38.0〜38.4
44%
38.5〜38.9
30%
39.0〜39.4
10%
39.5以上
1%
38.0〜38.4 44%
38.5〜38.9 30%
37.5〜37.9 11%
39.0〜39.4 10%
新規
新規
2026/09/11
37.5未満
$727 Vol.
<1%
37.5〜37.9
$1,033 Vol.
11%
38.0〜38.4
$2,082 Vol.
44%
38.5〜38.9
$1,394 Vol.
30%
39.0〜39.4
$684 Vol.
10%
39.5以上
$312 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 11, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling aggregates from sources such as RealClearPolitics, the New York Times, and Nate Silver’s models place President Trump’s job approval in the high 30s as of early September 2026, aligning with trader emphasis on the 38.0–38.4 range. Persistent voter dissatisfaction with the economy, cost-of-living pressures, and the protracted Iran conflict—factors that have weighed on ratings throughout the second term—continue to anchor numbers below 40 percent in most surveys. Rasmussen Reports recently showed a higher 42 percent figure, while Economist/YouGov and FT/Focaldata tracking registered 33–35 percent, illustrating typical pollster variation that markets price into tight bins around 38. With September 11 falling amid stable midterm-season conditions and no immediate catalysts expected to shift sentiment sharply, current consensus reflects these steady trends.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 11, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
マーケット開始日： Sep 7, 2026, 12:03 PM ET
音量
$6,233終了日
2026/09/11マーケット開始日
Sep 7, 2026, 12:03 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 11, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling aggregates from sources such as RealClearPolitics, the New York Times, and Nate Silver’s models place President Trump’s job approval in the high 30s as of early September 2026, aligning with trader emphasis on the 38.0–38.4 range. Persistent voter dissatisfaction with the economy, cost-of-living pressures, and the protracted Iran conflict—factors that have weighed on ratings throughout the second term—continue to anchor numbers below 40 percent in most surveys. Rasmussen Reports recently showed a higher 42 percent figure, while Economist/YouGov and FT/Focaldata tracking registered 33–35 percent, illustrating typical pollster variation that markets price into tight bins around 38. With September 11 falling amid stable midterm-season conditions and no immediate catalysts expected to shift sentiment sharply, current consensus reflects these steady trends.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 11, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
音量
$6,233終了日
2026/09/11マーケット開始日
Sep 7, 2026, 12:03 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling aggregates from sources such as RealClearPolitics, the New York Times, and Nate Silver’s models place President Trump’s job approval in the high 30s as of early September 2026, aligning with trader emphasis on the 38.0–38.4 range. Persistent voter dissatisfaction with the economy, cost-of-living pressures, and the protracted Iran conflict—factors that have weighed on ratings throughout the second term—continue to anchor numbers below 40 percent in most surveys. Rasmussen Reports recently showed a higher 42 percent figure, while Economist/YouGov and FT/Focaldata tracking registered 33–35 percent, illustrating typical pollster variation that markets price into tight bins around 38. With September 11 falling amid stable midterm-season conditions and no immediate catalysts expected to shift sentiment sharply, current consensus reflects these steady trends.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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