Skip to main content

米国で取引するにはpolymarket.us

icon for ハワード・ラトニックが10月31日までに商務長官に?

ハワード・ラトニックが10月31日までに商務長官に?

icon for ハワード・ラトニックが10月31日までに商務長官に?

ハワード・ラトニックが10月31日までに商務長官に?

はい

13% 確率
Polymarket
新規

はい

13% 確率
Polymarket
新規
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Howard Lutnick remains actively engaged as Secretary of Commerce in early September 2026, with no public indications of an impending departure before October 31.** He continues to lead on tariff policy, semiconductor manufacturing incentives, AI data center development, and bilateral trade discussions, including recent virtual and planned meetings with Mexican officials and statements on Japan-related investment. President Trump has publicly expressed support for Lutnick amid earlier 2026 scrutiny over Epstein-related disclosures, which prompted Democratic calls for resignation and a closed House Oversight session but produced no personnel change. Recent interviews and department announcements underscore ongoing priorities around domestic production and trade enforcement, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the high probability against removal in the near term.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$0
終了日
2026/10/31
マーケット開始日
Sep 3, 2026, 9:28 AM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Howard Lutnick remains actively engaged as Secretary of Commerce in early September 2026, with no public indications of an impending departure before October 31.** He continues to lead on tariff policy, semiconductor manufacturing incentives, AI data center development, and bilateral trade discussions, including recent virtual and planned meetings with Mexican officials and statements on Japan-related investment. President Trump has publicly expressed support for Lutnick amid earlier 2026 scrutiny over Epstein-related disclosures, which prompted Democratic calls for resignation and a closed House Oversight session but produced no personnel change. Recent interviews and department announcements underscore ongoing priorities around domestic production and trade enforcement, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the high probability against removal in the near term.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$0
終了日
2026/10/31
マーケット開始日
Sep 3, 2026, 9:28 AM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「ハワード・ラトニックが10月31日までに商務長官に?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ハワード・ルトニックが10月31日までに商務長官を退任するか?」で13%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、13¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に13%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「ハワード・ラトニックが10月31日までに商務長官に?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Sep 3, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「ハワード・ラトニックが10月31日までに商務長官に?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ハワード・ラトニックが10月31日までに商務長官に?」の現在のフロントランナーは「ハワード・ルトニックが10月31日までに商務長官を退任するか?」で13%であり、市場がこの結果に13%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ハワード・ラトニックが10月31日までに商務長官に?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。