Nicolás Maduro retains strong trader consensus as Venezuela’s leader by end-2026 due to the Supreme Court’s designation of him as president despite his January 2026 U.S. capture and ongoing U.S. legal proceedings, with no subsequent election or formal succession completed. Delcy Rodríguez, installed as acting president, has consolidated de facto authority through cooperation with the Trump administration on oil agreements, judicial reform talks with opposition factions led by Dinorah Figuera, and post-earthquake stabilization efforts, yet her interim mandate has exceeded constitutional limits without triggering a vote. Opposition figures including María Corina Machado remain sidelined in exile, while broader uncertainties around electoral timelines, institutional reforms, and U.S. pressure continue to shape the low probabilities for alternatives.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ニコラス・マドゥロ 83.3%
デルシー・ロドリゲス 9%
マリア・コリナ・マチャド 1.7%
元首不在 1.0%
$96,039,194 Vol.
$96,039,194 Vol.
2026/12/30
ニコラス・マドゥロ
83%
デルシー・ロドリゲス
9%
マリア・コリナ・マチャド
2%
元首不在
1%
ディオスダド・カベジョ・ロンドン
<1%
エドムンド・ゴンサレス
<1%
ウラジミール・パドリーノ・ロペス
<1%
ホルヘ・ロドリゲス
<1%
ディノラ・フィゲーラ
<1%
エヴァン・ペトゥス
<1%
ダン・ケイン
<1%
ドナルド・トランプ
<1%
マルコ・ルビオ
<1%
ピート・ヘグセス
<1%
フランク・ドノバン
<1%
リチャード・グレネル
<1%
ニコラス・マドゥロ 83.3%
デルシー・ロドリゲス 9%
マリア・コリナ・マチャド 1.7%
元首不在 1.0%
$96,039,194 Vol.
$96,039,194 Vol.
2026/12/30
ニコラス・マドゥロ
$2,841,006 Vol.
83%
デルシー・ロドリゲス
$1,787,041 Vol.
9%
マリア・コリナ・マチャド
$1,458,235 Vol.
2%
元首不在
$1,516,149 Vol.
1%
ディオスダド・カベジョ・ロンドン
$2,090,668 Vol.
<1%
エドムンド・ゴンサレス
$1,230,487 Vol.
<1%
ウラジミール・パドリーノ・ロペス
$820,287 Vol.
<1%
ホルヘ・ロドリゲス
$1,167,458 Vol.
<1%
ディノラ・フィゲーラ
$2,988,289 Vol.
<1%
エヴァン・ペトゥス
$5,648,911 Vol.
<1%
ダン・ケイン
$4,143,549 Vol.
<1%
ドナルド・トランプ
$1,136,710 Vol.
<1%
マルコ・ルビオ
$1,415,424 Vol.
<1%
ピート・ヘグセス
$9,191,733 Vol.
<1%
フランク・ドノバン
$25,812,522 Vol.
<1%
リチャード・グレネル
$32,790,723 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Nicolás Maduro retains strong trader consensus as Venezuela’s leader by end-2026 due to the Supreme Court’s designation of him as president despite his January 2026 U.S. capture and ongoing U.S. legal proceedings, with no subsequent election or formal succession completed. Delcy Rodríguez, installed as acting president, has consolidated de facto authority through cooperation with the Trump administration on oil agreements, judicial reform talks with opposition factions led by Dinorah Figuera, and post-earthquake stabilization efforts, yet her interim mandate has exceeded constitutional limits without triggering a vote. Opposition figures including María Corina Machado remain sidelined in exile, while broader uncertainties around electoral timelines, institutional reforms, and U.S. pressure continue to shape the low probabilities for alternatives.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
マーケット開始日： Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
音量
$96,039,194終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Nicolás Maduro retains strong trader consensus as Venezuela’s leader by end-2026 due to the Supreme Court’s designation of him as president despite his January 2026 U.S. capture and ongoing U.S. legal proceedings, with no subsequent election or formal succession completed. Delcy Rodríguez, installed as acting president, has consolidated de facto authority through cooperation with the Trump administration on oil agreements, judicial reform talks with opposition factions led by Dinorah Figuera, and post-earthquake stabilization efforts, yet her interim mandate has exceeded constitutional limits without triggering a vote. Opposition figures including María Corina Machado remain sidelined in exile, while broader uncertainties around electoral timelines, institutional reforms, and U.S. pressure continue to shape the low probabilities for alternatives.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
音量
$96,039,194終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Nicolás Maduro retains strong trader consensus as Venezuela’s leader by end-2026 due to the Supreme Court’s designation of him as president despite his January 2026 U.S. capture and ongoing U.S. legal proceedings, with no subsequent election or formal succession completed. Delcy Rodríguez, installed as acting president, has consolidated de facto authority through cooperation with the Trump administration on oil agreements, judicial reform talks with opposition factions led by Dinorah Figuera, and post-earthquake stabilization efforts, yet her interim mandate has exceeded constitutional limits without triggering a vote. Opposition figures including María Corina Machado remain sidelined in exile, while broader uncertainties around electoral timelines, institutional reforms, and U.S. pressure continue to shape the low probabilities for alternatives.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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