OpenAI's 71.7% implied probability reflects trader consensus around its leading large language models' demonstrated strengths in code generation, web development benchmarks, and iterative capabilities honed through successive releases. Anthropic holds 22% on the strength of Claude's competitive coding performance and safety-focused architecture, though it trails in specialized webdev arenas. Lower odds for Google, Meta, and others stem from comparatively narrower public benchmarks or slower iteration in web-focused AI tools. With resolution at end of October, any new model updates or independent evaluations could shift sentiment, but current positioning underscores OpenAI's edge in real-world developer adoption and capability metrics.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日OpenAI 71.8%
Anthropic 22%
アリババ 4.0%
Google 3.0%
$68,579 Vol.
$68,579 Vol.
2026/10/31
OpenAI
72%
Anthropic
22%
アリババ
4%
3%
ムーンショット
1%
SpaceXAI
1%
Z.ai
1%
Meta
1%
テンセント
1%
バイトダンス
<1%
Thinky
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
プールサイド
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
OpenAI 71.8%
Anthropic 22%
アリババ 4.0%
Google 3.0%
$68,579 Vol.
$68,579 Vol.
2026/10/31
OpenAI
$5,567 Vol.
72%
Anthropic
$50,048 Vol.
22%
アリババ
$2,018 Vol.
4%
$1,628 Vol.
3%
ムーンショット
$1,701 Vol.
1%
SpaceXAI
$806 Vol.
1%
Z.ai
$780 Vol.
1%
Meta
$779 Vol.
1%
テンセント
$773 Vol.
1%
バイトダンス
$653 Vol.
<1%
Thinky
$819 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$668 Vol.
<1%
Xiaomi
$679 Vol.
<1%
プールサイド
$677 Vol.
<1%
MiniMax
$387 Vol.
<1%
DeepSeek
$596 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI's 71.7% implied probability reflects trader consensus around its leading large language models' demonstrated strengths in code generation, web development benchmarks, and iterative capabilities honed through successive releases. Anthropic holds 22% on the strength of Claude's competitive coding performance and safety-focused architecture, though it trails in specialized webdev arenas. Lower odds for Google, Meta, and others stem from comparatively narrower public benchmarks or slower iteration in web-focused AI tools. With resolution at end of October, any new model updates or independent evaluations could shift sentiment, but current positioning underscores OpenAI's edge in real-world developer adoption and capability metrics.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
マーケット開始日： Aug 12, 2026, 7:56 PM ET
音量
$68,579終了日
2026/11/01マーケット開始日
Aug 12, 2026, 7:56 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI's 71.7% implied probability reflects trader consensus around its leading large language models' demonstrated strengths in code generation, web development benchmarks, and iterative capabilities honed through successive releases. Anthropic holds 22% on the strength of Claude's competitive coding performance and safety-focused architecture, though it trails in specialized webdev arenas. Lower odds for Google, Meta, and others stem from comparatively narrower public benchmarks or slower iteration in web-focused AI tools. With resolution at end of October, any new model updates or independent evaluations could shift sentiment, but current positioning underscores OpenAI's edge in real-world developer adoption and capability metrics.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
音量
$68,579終了日
2026/11/01マーケット開始日
Aug 12, 2026, 7:56 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI's 71.7% implied probability reflects trader consensus around its leading large language models' demonstrated strengths in code generation, web development benchmarks, and iterative capabilities honed through successive releases. Anthropic holds 22% on the strength of Claude's competitive coding performance and safety-focused architecture, though it trails in specialized webdev arenas. Lower odds for Google, Meta, and others stem from comparatively narrower public benchmarks or slower iteration in web-focused AI tools. With resolution at end of October, any new model updates or independent evaluations could shift sentiment, but current positioning underscores OpenAI's edge in real-world developer adoption and capability metrics.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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