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icon for トリスタン・バックマスターがOpenAIを訴えるのは... ?

トリスタン・バックマスターがOpenAIを訴えるのは... ?

icon for トリスタン・バックマスターがOpenAIを訴えるのは... ?

トリスタン・バックマスターがOpenAIを訴えるのは... ?

新規
2026/09/30
Polymarket

$243 Vol.

Polymarket

2026年9月30日

$85 Vol.

24%

2026年12月31日

$158 Vol.

38%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tristan Buckmaster files a lawsuit against OpenAI, or any of its subsidiaries, executives, or employees, by 11:59 PM ET of the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A lawsuit in which Tristan Buckmaster is a named plaintiff, alone or jointly with others, will qualify. An announcement of intent to sue or a legal threat will not qualify; a lawsuit must actually be filed in court. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant court. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.NYU mathematician Tristan Buckmaster’s public accusations against OpenAI have intensified scrutiny over credit and data practices in AI-assisted math research. In early September 2026, Buckmaster and Anthropic collaborator Levent Alpöge disclosed AI-supported progress on fluid dynamics problems using Codex and Claude, prompting OpenAI to announce a Navier-Stokes proof days later after rumors spread. Buckmaster alleges OpenAI accessed private session data, pressured him to exclude Alpöge due to Anthropic ties, and issued career threats—claims OpenAI and researcher Sébastien Bubeck reject as false. These developments, backed by real-money trader consensus on Polymarket, highlight risks around training data provenance, competitive lab dynamics, and potential legal escalation if Buckmaster pursues formal action amid ongoing public exchanges.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tristan Buckmaster files a lawsuit against OpenAI, or any of its subsidiaries, executives, or employees, by 11:59 PM ET of the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A lawsuit in which Tristan Buckmaster is a named plaintiff, alone or jointly with others, will qualify. An announcement of intent to sue or a legal threat will not qualify; a lawsuit must actually be filed in court.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant court. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tristan Buckmaster files a lawsuit against OpenAI, or any of its subsidiaries, executives, or employees, by 11:59 PM ET of the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A lawsuit in which Tristan Buckmaster is a named plaintiff, alone or jointly with others, will qualify. An announcement of intent to sue or a legal threat will not qualify; a lawsuit must actually be filed in court. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant court. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$243
終了日
2028/01/01
マーケット開始日
Sep 9, 2026, 3:45 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tristan Buckmaster files a lawsuit against OpenAI, or any of its subsidiaries, executives, or employees, by 11:59 PM ET of the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A lawsuit in which Tristan Buckmaster is a named plaintiff, alone or jointly with others, will qualify. An announcement of intent to sue or a legal threat will not qualify; a lawsuit must actually be filed in court. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant court. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.NYU mathematician Tristan Buckmaster’s public accusations against OpenAI have intensified scrutiny over credit and data practices in AI-assisted math research. In early September 2026, Buckmaster and Anthropic collaborator Levent Alpöge disclosed AI-supported progress on fluid dynamics problems using Codex and Claude, prompting OpenAI to announce a Navier-Stokes proof days later after rumors spread. Buckmaster alleges OpenAI accessed private session data, pressured him to exclude Alpöge due to Anthropic ties, and issued career threats—claims OpenAI and researcher Sébastien Bubeck reject as false. These developments, backed by real-money trader consensus on Polymarket, highlight risks around training data provenance, competitive lab dynamics, and potential legal escalation if Buckmaster pursues formal action amid ongoing public exchanges.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tristan Buckmaster files a lawsuit against OpenAI, or any of its subsidiaries, executives, or employees, by 11:59 PM ET of the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A lawsuit in which Tristan Buckmaster is a named plaintiff, alone or jointly with others, will qualify. An announcement of intent to sue or a legal threat will not qualify; a lawsuit must actually be filed in court.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant court. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tristan Buckmaster files a lawsuit against OpenAI, or any of its subsidiaries, executives, or employees, by 11:59 PM ET of the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A lawsuit in which Tristan Buckmaster is a named plaintiff, alone or jointly with others, will qualify. An announcement of intent to sue or a legal threat will not qualify; a lawsuit must actually be filed in court. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant court. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$243
終了日
2028/01/01
マーケット開始日
Sep 9, 2026, 3:45 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...

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よくある質問

「トリスタン・バックマスターがOpenAIを訴えるのは... ?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「2026年12月31日」で38%、次いで「2026年9月30日」が24%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、38¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に38%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「トリスタン・バックマスターがOpenAIを訴えるのは... ?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Sep 9, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「トリスタン・バックマスターがOpenAIを訴えるのは... ?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「トリスタン・バックマスターがOpenAIを訴えるのは... ?」の現在のフロントランナーは「2026年12月31日」で38%であり、市場がこの結果に38%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「2026年9月30日」で24%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「トリスタン・バックマスターがOpenAIを訴えるのは... ?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。