OpenAI’s private-market momentum and revenue trajectory underpin the 77.8% market-implied probability of a 1.5T+ closing market cap. Early-stage investor discussions reported in mid-September 2026 point to a potential $1.2 trillion valuation in a new funding round, building on the $852 billion post-money mark from the March 2026 $122 billion raise. Annualized revenue has climbed rapidly toward a $24 billion run rate amid sustained AI demand, while CEO Sam Altman’s insistence on at least a $1 trillion threshold and the decision to defer any 2026 listing have shifted focus to 2027. Traders appear to price in both further private uplift and a potential post-IPO premium once regulatory and safety considerations are addressed, though execution risk and broader tech-market sentiment remain key variables.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日1.5兆ドル以上 77.8%
1.25兆〜1.5兆 11%
1兆～1.25兆 4.9%
2027年12月31日までに上場しない 4.8%
$297,877 Vol.
$297,877 Vol.
2027/12/31
5,000億未満
1%
5,000億〜7,500億ドル
1%
7,500億～1兆
3%
1兆～1.25兆
5%
1.25兆〜1.5兆
11%
1.5兆ドル以上
78%
2027年12月31日までに上場しない
5%
1.5兆ドル以上 77.8%
1.25兆〜1.5兆 11%
1兆～1.25兆 4.9%
2027年12月31日までに上場しない 4.8%
$297,877 Vol.
$297,877 Vol.
2027/12/31
5,000億未満
$26,806 Vol.
1%
5,000億〜7,500億ドル
$24,650 Vol.
1%
7,500億～1兆
$62,675 Vol.
3%
1兆～1.25兆
$36,987 Vol.
5%
1.25兆〜1.5兆
$27,111 Vol.
11%
1.5兆ドル以上
$63,468 Vol.
78%
2027年12月31日までに上場しない
$56,181 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI’s private-market momentum and revenue trajectory underpin the 77.8% market-implied probability of a 1.5T+ closing market cap. Early-stage investor discussions reported in mid-September 2026 point to a potential $1.2 trillion valuation in a new funding round, building on the $852 billion post-money mark from the March 2026 $122 billion raise. Annualized revenue has climbed rapidly toward a $24 billion run rate amid sustained AI demand, while CEO Sam Altman’s insistence on at least a $1 trillion threshold and the decision to defer any 2026 listing have shifted focus to 2027. Traders appear to price in both further private uplift and a potential post-IPO premium once regulatory and safety considerations are addressed, though execution risk and broader tech-market sentiment remain key variables.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
マーケット開始日： Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
音量
$297,877終了日
2028/01/01マーケット開始日
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI’s private-market momentum and revenue trajectory underpin the 77.8% market-implied probability of a 1.5T+ closing market cap. Early-stage investor discussions reported in mid-September 2026 point to a potential $1.2 trillion valuation in a new funding round, building on the $852 billion post-money mark from the March 2026 $122 billion raise. Annualized revenue has climbed rapidly toward a $24 billion run rate amid sustained AI demand, while CEO Sam Altman’s insistence on at least a $1 trillion threshold and the decision to defer any 2026 listing have shifted focus to 2027. Traders appear to price in both further private uplift and a potential post-IPO premium once regulatory and safety considerations are addressed, though execution risk and broader tech-market sentiment remain key variables.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
音量
$297,877終了日
2028/01/01マーケット開始日
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...OpenAI’s private-market momentum and revenue trajectory underpin the 77.8% market-implied probability of a 1.5T+ closing market cap. Early-stage investor discussions reported in mid-September 2026 point to a potential $1.2 trillion valuation in a new funding round, building on the $852 billion post-money mark from the March 2026 $122 billion raise. Annualized revenue has climbed rapidly toward a $24 billion run rate amid sustained AI demand, while CEO Sam Altman’s insistence on at least a $1 trillion threshold and the decision to defer any 2026 listing have shifted focus to 2027. Traders appear to price in both further private uplift and a potential post-IPO premium once regulatory and safety considerations are addressed, though execution risk and broader tech-market sentiment remain key variables.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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