OpenAI’s September 2026 announcement that its unreleased Astra model and 10,000 AI agents solved the Navier–Stokes existence and smoothness problem—one of the Clay Millennium Prize questions—in 88 hours has sharply lifted trader expectations for additional major breakthroughs before year-end. This follows OpenAI’s August report of ten substantial advances across geometry, group theory, and combinatorics, plus Anthropic’s Claude-driven improvements to Riemann zeta function bounds and Google DeepMind’s ongoing IMO-level and research-agent work. Labs are rapidly scaling multi-agent systems and inference-time compute on open problems, though independent verification of formal proofs remains a key uncertainty. Traders are watching for further Millennium or Erdős-problem resolutions and competitive model releases that could shift implied probabilities on markets like the Riemann hypothesis or P versus NP.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ホッジ予想
56%
バーチ・スウィンナートン=ダイアー
56%
ルジャンドル予想
50%
ヤン=ミルズ
50%
コラッツ予想
50%
強いゴルドバッハ予想
50%
双子素数予想
50%
奇数完全数
50%
ハドウィガー=ネルソン問題
50%
アダマール行列予想
50%
ビール予想
50%
ラムゼー数R(5,5)
50%
リーマン予想
50%
P対NP
34%
$393 Vol.
ホッジ予想
56%
バーチ・スウィンナートン=ダイアー
56%
ルジャンドル予想
50%
ヤン=ミルズ
50%
コラッツ予想
50%
強いゴルドバッハ予想
50%
双子素数予想
50%
奇数完全数
50%
ハドウィガー=ネルソン問題
50%
アダマール行列予想
50%
ビール予想
50%
ラムゼー数R(5,5)
50%
リーマン予想
50%
P対NP
34%
A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem specified in the title has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from the Clay Mathematics Institute or any other organization is required.
The eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: Sep 9, 2026, 3:44 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x65070BE91...A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem specified in the title has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from the Clay Mathematics Institute or any other organization is required.
The eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
リゾルバー
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s September 2026 announcement that its unreleased Astra model and 10,000 AI agents solved the Navier–Stokes existence and smoothness problem—one of the Clay Millennium Prize questions—in 88 hours has sharply lifted trader expectations for additional major breakthroughs before year-end. This follows OpenAI’s August report of ten substantial advances across geometry, group theory, and combinatorics, plus Anthropic’s Claude-driven improvements to Riemann zeta function bounds and Google DeepMind’s ongoing IMO-level and research-agent work. Labs are rapidly scaling multi-agent systems and inference-time compute on open problems, though independent verification of formal proofs remains a key uncertainty. Traders are watching for further Millennium or Erdős-problem resolutions and competitive model releases that could shift implied probabilities on markets like the Riemann hypothesis or P versus NP.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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