OpenAI’s September 8 release of ChatGPT Images 2.5, including the GPT-Image-2.5 Sunburst and Flare variants, drives the overwhelming trader consensus. The update delivers sharper details, up to 50% lower generation latency, and markedly improved precision editing that preserves subject identity, composition, and background across multiple conversational turns while enabling sketch references, comment-based region edits, and reliable instruction following. Independent arenas such as Artificial Analysis now rank the new OpenAI models at the top of image-editing leaderboards, widening the gap over prior leaders. With resolution due at month-end, only an unanticipated competitive release or benchmark reversal in the next ten days could realistically alter the market-implied odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日OpenAI 98.3%
Google 1.2%
SpaceXAI <1%
Microsoft AI <1%
$25,998 Vol.
$25,998 Vol.
2026/09/30
OpenAI
98%
1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
Microsoft AI
<1%
Meta
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Reve
<1%
Luma AI
<1%
アリババ
<1%
テンセント
<1%
Black Forest Labs
<1%
KlingAI
<1%
Pruna
<1%
StepFun
<1%
OpenAI 98.3%
Google 1.2%
SpaceXAI <1%
Microsoft AI <1%
$25,998 Vol.
$25,998 Vol.
2026/09/30
OpenAI
$11,234 Vol.
98%
$9,138 Vol.
1%
SpaceXAI
$568 Vol.
<1%
Microsoft AI
$558 Vol.
<1%
Meta
$532 Vol.
<1%
ByteDance
$419 Vol.
<1%
Reve
$439 Vol.
<1%
Luma AI
$354 Vol.
<1%
アリババ
$439 Vol.
<1%
テンセント
$478 Vol.
<1%
Black Forest Labs
$545 Vol.
<1%
KlingAI
$374 Vol.
<1%
Pruna
$530 Vol.
<1%
StepFun
$389 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Image Edit Leaderboard when the table under "Image Edit Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Image Edit Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/image-edit (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models marked “Preliminary” at the applicable check time will be considered.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Image Edit Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI’s September 8 release of ChatGPT Images 2.5, including the GPT-Image-2.5 Sunburst and Flare variants, drives the overwhelming trader consensus. The update delivers sharper details, up to 50% lower generation latency, and markedly improved precision editing that preserves subject identity, composition, and background across multiple conversational turns while enabling sketch references, comment-based region edits, and reliable instruction following. Independent arenas such as Artificial Analysis now rank the new OpenAI models at the top of image-editing leaderboards, widening the gap over prior leaders. With resolution due at month-end, only an unanticipated competitive release or benchmark reversal in the next ten days could realistically alter the market-implied odds.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Image Edit Leaderboard when the table under "Image Edit Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Image Edit Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/image-edit (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models marked “Preliminary” at the applicable check time will be considered.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Image Edit Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Image Edit Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/image-edit (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models marked “Preliminary” at the applicable check time will be considered.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Image Edit Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
マーケット開始日： Sep 9, 2026, 3:56 PM ET
音量
$25,998終了日
2026/10/01マーケット開始日
Sep 9, 2026, 3:56 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Image Edit Leaderboard when the table under "Image Edit Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Image Edit Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/image-edit (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models marked “Preliminary” at the applicable check time will be considered.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Image Edit Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI’s September 8 release of ChatGPT Images 2.5, including the GPT-Image-2.5 Sunburst and Flare variants, drives the overwhelming trader consensus. The update delivers sharper details, up to 50% lower generation latency, and markedly improved precision editing that preserves subject identity, composition, and background across multiple conversational turns while enabling sketch references, comment-based region edits, and reliable instruction following. Independent arenas such as Artificial Analysis now rank the new OpenAI models at the top of image-editing leaderboards, widening the gap over prior leaders. With resolution due at month-end, only an unanticipated competitive release or benchmark reversal in the next ten days could realistically alter the market-implied odds.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Image Edit Leaderboard when the table under "Image Edit Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Image Edit Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/image-edit (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models marked “Preliminary” at the applicable check time will be considered.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Image Edit Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Image Edit Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/image-edit (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models marked “Preliminary” at the applicable check time will be considered.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Image Edit Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
音量
$25,998終了日
2026/10/01マーケット開始日
Sep 9, 2026, 3:56 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s September 8 release of ChatGPT Images 2.5, including the GPT-Image-2.5 Sunburst and Flare variants, drives the overwhelming trader consensus. The update delivers sharper details, up to 50% lower generation latency, and markedly improved precision editing that preserves subject identity, composition, and background across multiple conversational turns while enabling sketch references, comment-based region edits, and reliable instruction following. Independent arenas such as Artificial Analysis now rank the new OpenAI models at the top of image-editing leaderboards, widening the gap over prior leaders. With resolution due at month-end, only an unanticipated competitive release or benchmark reversal in the next ten days could realistically alter the market-implied odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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