Ongoing hostilities between the Sudanese Armed Forces and Rapid Support Forces continue to block any near-term ceasefire, with both sides pursuing military gains amid drone strikes, territorial shifts in Kordofan and Blue Nile, and worsening humanitarian conditions including famine reports. International efforts have intensified recently, including the Quintet envoys' first wartime mission to Khartoum in early September 2026 for civilian-focused consultations coordinated with the Quad, alongside UN envoy Pekka Haavisto's push for de-escalation and a prisoner exchange. Sudanese army leadership has rejected external truce frameworks that fall short of full RSF withdrawals from occupied areas and has signaled preference for battlefield outcomes over inclusive talks. These dynamics, combined with repeated past failures to sustain humanitarian pauses, shape trader assessments of resolution timelines despite ongoing diplomatic activity.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$119,424 Vol.
2026/12/31
2026年12月31日
14%
$119,424 Vol.
2026年12月31日
$14,886 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.Ongoing hostilities between the Sudanese Armed Forces and Rapid Support Forces continue to block any near-term ceasefire, with both sides pursuing military gains amid drone strikes, territorial shifts in Kordofan and Blue Nile, and worsening humanitarian conditions including famine reports. International efforts have intensified recently, including the Quintet envoys' first wartime mission to Khartoum in early September 2026 for civilian-focused consultations coordinated with the Quad, alongside UN envoy Pekka Haavisto's push for de-escalation and a prisoner exchange. Sudanese army leadership has rejected external truce frameworks that fall short of full RSF withdrawals from occupied areas and has signaled preference for battlefield outcomes over inclusive talks. These dynamics, combined with repeated past failures to sustain humanitarian pauses, shape trader assessments of resolution timelines despite ongoing diplomatic activity.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
マーケット開始日： Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ET
音量
$119,424終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.Ongoing hostilities between the Sudanese Armed Forces and Rapid Support Forces continue to block any near-term ceasefire, with both sides pursuing military gains amid drone strikes, territorial shifts in Kordofan and Blue Nile, and worsening humanitarian conditions including famine reports. International efforts have intensified recently, including the Quintet envoys' first wartime mission to Khartoum in early September 2026 for civilian-focused consultations coordinated with the Quad, alongside UN envoy Pekka Haavisto's push for de-escalation and a prisoner exchange. Sudanese army leadership has rejected external truce frameworks that fall short of full RSF withdrawals from occupied areas and has signaled preference for battlefield outcomes over inclusive talks. These dynamics, combined with repeated past failures to sustain humanitarian pauses, shape trader assessments of resolution timelines despite ongoing diplomatic activity.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
音量
$119,424終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Ongoing hostilities between the Sudanese Armed Forces and Rapid Support Forces continue to block any near-term ceasefire, with both sides pursuing military gains amid drone strikes, territorial shifts in Kordofan and Blue Nile, and worsening humanitarian conditions including famine reports. International efforts have intensified recently, including the Quintet envoys' first wartime mission to Khartoum in early September 2026 for civilian-focused consultations coordinated with the Quad, alongside UN envoy Pekka Haavisto's push for de-escalation and a prisoner exchange. Sudanese army leadership has rejected external truce frameworks that fall short of full RSF withdrawals from occupied areas and has signaled preference for battlefield outcomes over inclusive talks. These dynamics, combined with repeated past failures to sustain humanitarian pauses, shape trader assessments of resolution timelines despite ongoing diplomatic activity.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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