Recent Middle East supply disruptions, including reduced flows through the Strait of Hormuz and tanker attacks tied to the Iran conflict, have driven Brent and WTI prices above $100 per barrel in September 2026, with sharp weekly gains amid inventory draws and OPEC+ output cuts. Elevated prices reflect persistent geopolitical risk premiums, though demand destruction—particularly in China—and resilient non-OPEC supply have prevented a sustained breach of the 2008 all-time highs near $147. Forward curves show backwardation as markets price in potential further tightening or gradual normalization depending on diplomatic progress and refinery constraints. Key near-term catalysts include ongoing U.S.-Iran negotiations, September inventory reports, and OPEC production decisions that could influence whether prices test or exceed historical peaks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$3,680,460 Vol.
2026/09/30
September 30
2%
December 31
14%
$3,680,460 Vol.
September 30
$1,695,082 Vol.
2%
December 31
$1,194,409 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day after market creation, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day on or before the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures. If finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period has not been published on the CME Group website within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the data published through all CME Group channels up to that point.Recent Middle East supply disruptions, including reduced flows through the Strait of Hormuz and tanker attacks tied to the Iran conflict, have driven Brent and WTI prices above $100 per barrel in September 2026, with sharp weekly gains amid inventory draws and OPEC+ output cuts. Elevated prices reflect persistent geopolitical risk premiums, though demand destruction—particularly in China—and resilient non-OPEC supply have prevented a sustained breach of the 2008 all-time highs near $147. Forward curves show backwardation as markets price in potential further tightening or gradual normalization depending on diplomatic progress and refinery constraints. Key near-term catalysts include ongoing U.S.-Iran negotiations, September inventory reports, and OPEC production decisions that could influence whether prices test or exceed historical peaks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day after market creation, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day on or before the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures. If finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period has not been published on the CME Group website within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the data published through all CME Group channels up to that point.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures. If finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period has not been published on the CME Group website within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the data published through all CME Group channels up to that point.
マーケット開始日： Apr 30, 2026, 2:38 PM ET
音量
$3,680,460終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Apr 30, 2026, 2:38 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day after market creation, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day on or before the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures. If finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period has not been published on the CME Group website within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the data published through all CME Group channels up to that point.Recent Middle East supply disruptions, including reduced flows through the Strait of Hormuz and tanker attacks tied to the Iran conflict, have driven Brent and WTI prices above $100 per barrel in September 2026, with sharp weekly gains amid inventory draws and OPEC+ output cuts. Elevated prices reflect persistent geopolitical risk premiums, though demand destruction—particularly in China—and resilient non-OPEC supply have prevented a sustained breach of the 2008 all-time highs near $147. Forward curves show backwardation as markets price in potential further tightening or gradual normalization depending on diplomatic progress and refinery constraints. Key near-term catalysts include ongoing U.S.-Iran negotiations, September inventory reports, and OPEC production decisions that could influence whether prices test or exceed historical peaks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day after market creation, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day on or before the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures. If finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period has not been published on the CME Group website within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the data published through all CME Group channels up to that point.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures. If finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period has not been published on the CME Group website within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the data published through all CME Group channels up to that point.
音量
$3,680,460終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Apr 30, 2026, 2:38 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Recent Middle East supply disruptions, including reduced flows through the Strait of Hormuz and tanker attacks tied to the Iran conflict, have driven Brent and WTI prices above $100 per barrel in September 2026, with sharp weekly gains amid inventory draws and OPEC+ output cuts. Elevated prices reflect persistent geopolitical risk premiums, though demand destruction—particularly in China—and resilient non-OPEC supply have prevented a sustained breach of the 2008 all-time highs near $147. Forward curves show backwardation as markets price in potential further tightening or gradual normalization depending on diplomatic progress and refinery constraints. Key near-term catalysts include ongoing U.S.-Iran negotiations, September inventory reports, and OPEC production decisions that could influence whether prices test or exceed historical peaks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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