Israeli officials have tied any broader withdrawal from positions beyond the Litani River to verified disarmament of Hezbollah and expanded operational effectiveness by the Lebanese Armed Forces in designated pilot zones established under the June 2026 trilateral framework. Recent statements from IDF Chief of Staff Eyal Zamir and Defense Minister Israel Katz emphasize that Israeli forces will maintain forward positions in the security zone until Hezbollah infrastructure south of the river is eliminated and the LAF can assume exclusive control, with no fixed timetable cited. Ongoing Israeli artillery and air operations in areas such as Zawtar al-Sharqiyah and Aita al-Jabal through mid-September underscore persistent enforcement of these conditions. Lebanese authorities report incremental LAF deployments and weapons seizures in pilot zones, yet Israeli assessments question coordination and results. Diplomatic follow-up remains limited, with Hezbollah rejecting disarmament absent full Israeli redeployment.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$1,367,765 Vol.
2026/09/30
9月30日
1%
3月31日
24%
10月31日
6%
December 31
15%
$1,367,765 Vol.
9月30日
$9,960 Vol.
1%
3月31日
$136 Vol.
24%
10月31日
$3,839 Vol.
6%
December 31
$512,613 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.Israeli officials have tied any broader withdrawal from positions beyond the Litani River to verified disarmament of Hezbollah and expanded operational effectiveness by the Lebanese Armed Forces in designated pilot zones established under the June 2026 trilateral framework. Recent statements from IDF Chief of Staff Eyal Zamir and Defense Minister Israel Katz emphasize that Israeli forces will maintain forward positions in the security zone until Hezbollah infrastructure south of the river is eliminated and the LAF can assume exclusive control, with no fixed timetable cited. Ongoing Israeli artillery and air operations in areas such as Zawtar al-Sharqiyah and Aita al-Jabal through mid-September underscore persistent enforcement of these conditions. Lebanese authorities report incremental LAF deployments and weapons seizures in pilot zones, yet Israeli assessments question coordination and results. Diplomatic follow-up remains limited, with Hezbollah rejecting disarmament absent full Israeli redeployment.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Sep 7, 2026, 11:54 AM ET
音量
$1,367,765終了日
2026/09/01マーケット開始日
Sep 7, 2026, 11:54 AM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.Israeli officials have tied any broader withdrawal from positions beyond the Litani River to verified disarmament of Hezbollah and expanded operational effectiveness by the Lebanese Armed Forces in designated pilot zones established under the June 2026 trilateral framework. Recent statements from IDF Chief of Staff Eyal Zamir and Defense Minister Israel Katz emphasize that Israeli forces will maintain forward positions in the security zone until Hezbollah infrastructure south of the river is eliminated and the LAF can assume exclusive control, with no fixed timetable cited. Ongoing Israeli artillery and air operations in areas such as Zawtar al-Sharqiyah and Aita al-Jabal through mid-September underscore persistent enforcement of these conditions. Lebanese authorities report incremental LAF deployments and weapons seizures in pilot zones, yet Israeli assessments question coordination and results. Diplomatic follow-up remains limited, with Hezbollah rejecting disarmament absent full Israeli redeployment.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
音量
$1,367,765終了日
2026/09/01マーケット開始日
Sep 7, 2026, 11:54 AM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Israeli officials have tied any broader withdrawal from positions beyond the Litani River to verified disarmament of Hezbollah and expanded operational effectiveness by the Lebanese Armed Forces in designated pilot zones established under the June 2026 trilateral framework. Recent statements from IDF Chief of Staff Eyal Zamir and Defense Minister Israel Katz emphasize that Israeli forces will maintain forward positions in the security zone until Hezbollah infrastructure south of the river is eliminated and the LAF can assume exclusive control, with no fixed timetable cited. Ongoing Israeli artillery and air operations in areas such as Zawtar al-Sharqiyah and Aita al-Jabal through mid-September underscore persistent enforcement of these conditions. Lebanese authorities report incremental LAF deployments and weapons seizures in pilot zones, yet Israeli assessments question coordination and results. Diplomatic follow-up remains limited, with Hezbollah rejecting disarmament absent full Israeli redeployment.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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