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icon for イスラエル選挙:ヤシャール議席数は?

イスラエル選挙:ヤシャール議席数は?

icon for イスラエル選挙:ヤシャール議席数は?

イスラエル選挙:ヤシャール議席数は?

24〜25 36%

22~23 24%

26〜27 18%

20~21 11%

Polymarket
新規

24〜25 36%

22~23 24%

26〜27 18%

20~21 11%

Polymarket
新規

20未満

$249 Vol.

9%

20~21

$459 Vol.

11%

22~23

$819 Vol.

23%

24〜25

$875 Vol.

42%

26〜27

$715 Vol.

18%

28〜29

$318 Vol.

5%

30以上

$5,879 Vol.

10%

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Yashar, the centrist party led by former IDF Chief of Staff Gadi Eisenkot, has maintained a lead or near-tie with Likud in recent polling averages for the October 27, 2026, Knesset election, with most surveys projecting 22-25 seats. This positioning stems from sustained voter shifts toward Eisenkot's security-focused platform and emphasis on government reform, drawing support from centrist and right-leaning blocs disillusioned with both Likud's performance and Naftali Bennett's Together alliance. Recent candidate list finalization, including additions like former ministers, and surplus vote agreements with The Democrats have reinforced Yashar's viability without major disruptions. Trader consensus around 22-25 seats reflects these stable poll trends and the absence of late-breaking events that would alter the trajectory ahead of the vote.

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.

If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
音量
$9,315
終了日
2026/11/30
マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 6:17 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Yashar, the centrist party led by former IDF Chief of Staff Gadi Eisenkot, has maintained a lead or near-tie with Likud in recent polling averages for the October 27, 2026, Knesset election, with most surveys projecting 22-25 seats. This positioning stems from sustained voter shifts toward Eisenkot's security-focused platform and emphasis on government reform, drawing support from centrist and right-leaning blocs disillusioned with both Likud's performance and Naftali Bennett's Together alliance. Recent candidate list finalization, including additions like former ministers, and surplus vote agreements with The Democrats have reinforced Yashar's viability without major disruptions. Trader consensus around 22-25 seats reflects these stable poll trends and the absence of late-breaking events that would alter the trajectory ahead of the vote.

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.

If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
音量
$9,315
終了日
2026/11/30
マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 6:17 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「イスラエル選挙:ヤシャール議席数は?」はPolymarket上の7個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「24〜25」で42%、次いで「22~23」が23%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、42¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に42%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「イスラエル選挙:ヤシャール議席数は?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Sep 4, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「イスラエル選挙:ヤシャール議席数は?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている7個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「イスラエル選挙:ヤシャール議席数は?」の現在のフロントランナーは「24〜25」で42%であり、市場がこの結果に42%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「22~23」で23%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「イスラエル選挙:ヤシャール議席数は?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。