Yashar, the centrist party led by former IDF Chief of Staff Gadi Eisenkot, has maintained a lead or near-tie with Likud in recent polling averages for the October 27, 2026, Knesset election, with most surveys projecting 22-25 seats. This positioning stems from sustained voter shifts toward Eisenkot's security-focused platform and emphasis on government reform, drawing support from centrist and right-leaning blocs disillusioned with both Likud's performance and Naftali Bennett's Together alliance. Recent candidate list finalization, including additions like former ministers, and surplus vote agreements with The Democrats have reinforced Yashar's viability without major disruptions. Trader consensus around 22-25 seats reflects these stable poll trends and the absence of late-breaking events that would alter the trajectory ahead of the vote.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日24〜25 36%
22~23 24%
26〜27 18%
20~21 11%
20未満
9%
20~21
11%
22~23
23%
24〜25
42%
26〜27
18%
28〜29
5%
30以上
10%
24〜25 36%
22~23 24%
26〜27 18%
20~21 11%
20未満
9%
20~21
11%
22~23
23%
24〜25
42%
26〜27
18%
28〜29
5%
30以上
10%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
マーケット開始日: Sep 4, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Yashar, the centrist party led by former IDF Chief of Staff Gadi Eisenkot, has maintained a lead or near-tie with Likud in recent polling averages for the October 27, 2026, Knesset election, with most surveys projecting 22-25 seats. This positioning stems from sustained voter shifts toward Eisenkot's security-focused platform and emphasis on government reform, drawing support from centrist and right-leaning blocs disillusioned with both Likud's performance and Naftali Bennett's Together alliance. Recent candidate list finalization, including additions like former ministers, and surplus vote agreements with The Democrats have reinforced Yashar's viability without major disruptions. Trader consensus around 22-25 seats reflects these stable poll trends and the absence of late-breaking events that would alter the trajectory ahead of the vote.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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