Recent polling averages place Ra'am at around five Knesset seats, with most surveys showing a 4-6 range amid tight overall bloc competition ahead of the October 27 vote. Trader consensus reflects this narrow band, as the party’s independent run, surplus-vote pact with the Joint List, and inclusion of Jewish candidate Yoav Segalovitz have stabilized its base without clear upward momentum. Petitions filed by Likud and Otzma Yehudit seeking to disqualify Ra'am and the Joint List remain pending before the Central Elections Committee, with responses submitted on September 20; any rulings could alter eligibility or turnout dynamics. Arab-sector participation rates and competition within the Arab lists continue to drive the close probabilities between four, five, and six seats.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5 28%
4 28%
6 24.7%
7 14.0%
新規
新規
2026/11/30
4未満
11%
4
28%
5
28%
6
25%
7
15%
8以上
4%
5 28%
4 28%
6 24.7%
7 14.0%
新規
新規
2026/11/30
4未満
$1,118 Vol.
11%
4
$1,827 Vol.
28%
5
$1,439 Vol.
28%
6
$1,617 Vol.
25%
7
$1,127 Vol.
15%
8以上
$940 Vol.
4%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages place Ra'am at around five Knesset seats, with most surveys showing a 4-6 range amid tight overall bloc competition ahead of the October 27 vote. Trader consensus reflects this narrow band, as the party’s independent run, surplus-vote pact with the Joint List, and inclusion of Jewish candidate Yoav Segalovitz have stabilized its base without clear upward momentum. Petitions filed by Likud and Otzma Yehudit seeking to disqualify Ra'am and the Joint List remain pending before the Central Elections Committee, with responses submitted on September 20; any rulings could alter eligibility or turnout dynamics. Arab-sector participation rates and competition within the Arab lists continue to drive the close probabilities between four, five, and six seats.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
マーケット開始日： Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
音量
$8,067終了日
2026/10/27マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages place Ra'am at around five Knesset seats, with most surveys showing a 4-6 range amid tight overall bloc competition ahead of the October 27 vote. Trader consensus reflects this narrow band, as the party’s independent run, surplus-vote pact with the Joint List, and inclusion of Jewish candidate Yoav Segalovitz have stabilized its base without clear upward momentum. Petitions filed by Likud and Otzma Yehudit seeking to disqualify Ra'am and the Joint List remain pending before the Central Elections Committee, with responses submitted on September 20; any rulings could alter eligibility or turnout dynamics. Arab-sector participation rates and competition within the Arab lists continue to drive the close probabilities between four, five, and six seats.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
音量
$8,067終了日
2026/10/27マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place Ra'am at around five Knesset seats, with most surveys showing a 4-6 range amid tight overall bloc competition ahead of the October 27 vote. Trader consensus reflects this narrow band, as the party’s independent run, surplus-vote pact with the Joint List, and inclusion of Jewish candidate Yoav Segalovitz have stabilized its base without clear upward momentum. Petitions filed by Likud and Otzma Yehudit seeking to disqualify Ra'am and the Joint List remain pending before the Central Elections Committee, with responses submitted on September 20; any rulings could alter eligibility or turnout dynamics. Arab-sector participation rates and competition within the Arab lists continue to drive the close probabilities between four, five, and six seats.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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