Recent polling averages project United Torah Judaism at 7–8 seats in the October 27 Knesset election, consistent with its 2022 result and stable Haredi voter base. The party maintained a unified list despite early-September internal factional adjustments that created a separate technical framework within the alliance, avoiding a split that could have risked falling below the threshold. Broader bloc dynamics show the Netanyahu-aligned right-religious camp hovering near 52–55 seats, limiting any surge for coalition partners like UTJ while opposition gains among secular and centrist voters have not eroded core Haredi support. No major draft-related or leadership shifts in the past month have altered turnout expectations, keeping the 7–8 range the consensus outcome among traders.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7〜8 62%
9〜10 19%
7未満 10.0%
11以上 4.8%
7未満
13%
7〜8
62%
9〜10
20%
11以上
5%
7〜8 62%
9〜10 19%
7未満 10.0%
11以上 4.8%
7未満
13%
7〜8
62%
9〜10
20%
11以上
5%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
マーケット開始日: Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages project United Torah Judaism at 7–8 seats in the October 27 Knesset election, consistent with its 2022 result and stable Haredi voter base. The party maintained a unified list despite early-September internal factional adjustments that created a separate technical framework within the alliance, avoiding a split that could have risked falling below the threshold. Broader bloc dynamics show the Netanyahu-aligned right-religious camp hovering near 52–55 seats, limiting any surge for coalition partners like UTJ while opposition gains among secular and centrist voters have not eroded core Haredi support. No major draft-related or leadership shifts in the past month have altered turnout expectations, keeping the 7–8 range the consensus outcome among traders.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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