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icon for イスラエル選挙: UTJの議席数は?

イスラエル選挙: UTJの議席数は?

icon for イスラエル選挙: UTJの議席数は?

イスラエル選挙: UTJの議席数は?

7〜8 62%

9〜10 19%

7未満 10.0%

11以上 4.8%

Polymarket
新規

7〜8 62%

9〜10 19%

7未満 10.0%

11以上 4.8%

Polymarket
新規

7未満

$1,392 Vol.

13%

7〜8

$4,291 Vol.

62%

9〜10

$387 Vol.

20%

11以上

$547 Vol.

5%

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in this election. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages project United Torah Judaism at 7–8 seats in the October 27 Knesset election, consistent with its 2022 result and stable Haredi voter base. The party maintained a unified list despite early-September internal factional adjustments that created a separate technical framework within the alliance, avoiding a split that could have risked falling below the threshold. Broader bloc dynamics show the Netanyahu-aligned right-religious camp hovering near 52–55 seats, limiting any surge for coalition partners like UTJ while opposition gains among secular and centrist voters have not eroded core Haredi support. No major draft-related or leadership shifts in the past month have altered turnout expectations, keeping the 7–8 range the consensus outcome among traders.

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.

If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in this election.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in this election. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
音量
$6,617
終了日
2026/10/27
マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in this election. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages project United Torah Judaism at 7–8 seats in the October 27 Knesset election, consistent with its 2022 result and stable Haredi voter base. The party maintained a unified list despite early-September internal factional adjustments that created a separate technical framework within the alliance, avoiding a split that could have risked falling below the threshold. Broader bloc dynamics show the Netanyahu-aligned right-religious camp hovering near 52–55 seats, limiting any surge for coalition partners like UTJ while opposition gains among secular and centrist voters have not eroded core Haredi support. No major draft-related or leadership shifts in the past month have altered turnout expectations, keeping the 7–8 range the consensus outcome among traders.

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.

If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in this election.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in this election. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
音量
$6,617
終了日
2026/10/27
マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...

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よくある質問

「イスラエル選挙: UTJの議席数は?」はPolymarket上の4個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「7〜8」で62%、次いで「9〜10」が20%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、62¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に62%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「イスラエル選挙: UTJの議席数は?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Sep 4, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「イスラエル選挙: UTJの議席数は?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている4個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「イスラエル選挙: UTJの議席数は?」の現在のフロントランナーは「7〜8」で62%であり、市場がこの結果に62%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「9〜10」で20%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「イスラエル選挙: UTJの議席数は?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。