The Roraima Senate race features a fragmented field of 13 candidates contesting two seats on October 4, with voters selecting two names. The latest Quaest survey from late August shows Teresa Surita (MDB), Nicoletti (PL), and Helena da Asatur (PSD) clustered within the margin of error at 19%, 17%, and 16% respectively in combined intentions, followed by Chico Rodrigues (PSB) at 11%, amid 17% undecided and far higher spontaneous indecision. This positioning, combined with PL fielding multiple candidates and limited recent polling or alliance announcements, sustains tight implied probabilities for second place. Small shifts in undecided consolidation, regional turnout, or cross-endorsements could reorder the finish among the top three before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Nicoletti 51.6%
Teresa Surita 26%
Helena da Asatur 19.1%
Chico Rodrigues 3.3%
$62,375 Vol.
$62,375 Vol.
2026/10/04
Nicoletti
52%
Teresa Surita
26%
Helena da Asatur
19%
Chico Rodrigues
3%
Helio Bolsonaro
3%
Pastor Isamar
<1%
Mario Rocha
<1%
Bartô Macuxi
<1%
Hilton Xavier
<1%
Hiperion de Oliveira
<1%
Márcio Junqueira
<1%
Regina Tio Ivo
<1%
Rogério Miranda
<1%
Nicoletti 51.6%
Teresa Surita 26%
Helena da Asatur 19.1%
Chico Rodrigues 3.3%
$62,375 Vol.
$62,375 Vol.
2026/10/04
Nicoletti
$11,121 Vol.
52%
Teresa Surita
$18,485 Vol.
26%
Helena da Asatur
$4,672 Vol.
19%
Chico Rodrigues
$13,612 Vol.
3%
Helio Bolsonaro
$8,898 Vol.
3%
Pastor Isamar
$952 Vol.
<1%
Mario Rocha
$810 Vol.
<1%
Bartô Macuxi
$581 Vol.
<1%
Hilton Xavier
$529 Vol.
<1%
Hiperion de Oliveira
$569 Vol.
<1%
Márcio Junqueira
$676 Vol.
<1%
Regina Tio Ivo
$887 Vol.
<1%
Rogério Miranda
$583 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Roraima Senate race features a fragmented field of 13 candidates contesting two seats on October 4, with voters selecting two names. The latest Quaest survey from late August shows Teresa Surita (MDB), Nicoletti (PL), and Helena da Asatur (PSD) clustered within the margin of error at 19%, 17%, and 16% respectively in combined intentions, followed by Chico Rodrigues (PSB) at 11%, amid 17% undecided and far higher spontaneous indecision. This positioning, combined with PL fielding multiple candidates and limited recent polling or alliance announcements, sustains tight implied probabilities for second place. Small shifts in undecided consolidation, regional turnout, or cross-endorsements could reorder the finish among the top three before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ET
音量
$62,375終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Roraima Senate race features a fragmented field of 13 candidates contesting two seats on October 4, with voters selecting two names. The latest Quaest survey from late August shows Teresa Surita (MDB), Nicoletti (PL), and Helena da Asatur (PSD) clustered within the margin of error at 19%, 17%, and 16% respectively in combined intentions, followed by Chico Rodrigues (PSB) at 11%, amid 17% undecided and far higher spontaneous indecision. This positioning, combined with PL fielding multiple candidates and limited recent polling or alliance announcements, sustains tight implied probabilities for second place. Small shifts in undecided consolidation, regional turnout, or cross-endorsements could reorder the finish among the top three before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$62,375終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The Roraima Senate race features a fragmented field of 13 candidates contesting two seats on October 4, with voters selecting two names. The latest Quaest survey from late August shows Teresa Surita (MDB), Nicoletti (PL), and Helena da Asatur (PSD) clustered within the margin of error at 19%, 17%, and 16% respectively in combined intentions, followed by Chico Rodrigues (PSB) at 11%, amid 17% undecided and far higher spontaneous indecision. This positioning, combined with PL fielding multiple candidates and limited recent polling or alliance announcements, sustains tight implied probabilities for second place. Small shifts in undecided consolidation, regional turnout, or cross-endorsements could reorder the finish among the top three before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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