The wide-open 2028 Republican vice-presidential field reflects the absence of a clear presidential frontrunner and term limits on the prior ticket, with traders assigning Marco Rubio the highest implied probability at 30.5 percent due to his Senate tenure, foreign policy record, and cross-faction appeal. Lower odds for figures such as Marjorie Taylor Greene and J.D. Vance at 6 percent each highlight the premium on institutional experience and broader electability over narrower base mobilization. Key differentiators include prior executive or legislative roles, alignment with party priorities on trade and immigration, and capacity to unify donor and voter coalitions. Consolidation behind one contender would likely require strong primary polling, endorsements from leading presidential candidates, or standout performances in early debates and state conventions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Marco Rubio 31%
Marjorie Taylor Greene 6.2%
J.D. Vance 6%
Thomas Massie 5.1%
$46,301 Vol.
$46,301 Vol.
Marco Rubio
31%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
6%
J.D. Vance
6%
Thomas Massie
5%
Kristi Noem
5%
Ivanka Trump
5%
Donald Trump Jr.
3%
Rand Paul
3%
Donald Trump
3%
Josh Hawley
3%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
3%
Ted Cruz
3%
Joe Kent
3%
Brian Kemp
2%
Elise Stefanik
2%
Tucker Carlson
2%
Elon Musk
2%
Katie Britt
1%
Nikki Haley
1%
Pete Hegseth
1%
Vivek Ramaswamy
1%
Matt Gaetz
1%
Kim Kardashian
1%
Tulsi Gabbard
1%
Erika Kirk
1%
Glenn Youngkin
1%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
1%
Eric Trump
1%
Ron DeSantis
1%
Greg Abbott
1%
Byron Donalds
1%
John Thune
1%
Mike Pence
1%
Tom Brady
1%
Steve Bannon
1%
Marco Rubio 31%
Marjorie Taylor Greene 6.2%
J.D. Vance 6%
Thomas Massie 5.1%
$46,301 Vol.
$46,301 Vol.
Marco Rubio
31%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
6%
J.D. Vance
6%
Thomas Massie
5%
Kristi Noem
5%
Ivanka Trump
5%
Donald Trump Jr.
3%
Rand Paul
3%
Donald Trump
3%
Josh Hawley
3%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
3%
Ted Cruz
3%
Joe Kent
3%
Brian Kemp
2%
Elise Stefanik
2%
Tucker Carlson
2%
Elon Musk
2%
Katie Britt
1%
Nikki Haley
1%
Pete Hegseth
1%
Vivek Ramaswamy
1%
Matt Gaetz
1%
Kim Kardashian
1%
Tulsi Gabbard
1%
Erika Kirk
1%
Glenn Youngkin
1%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
1%
Eric Trump
1%
Ron DeSantis
1%
Greg Abbott
1%
Byron Donalds
1%
John Thune
1%
Mike Pence
1%
Tom Brady
1%
Steve Bannon
1%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
マーケット開始日: Apr 14, 2026, 1:58 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The wide-open 2028 Republican vice-presidential field reflects the absence of a clear presidential frontrunner and term limits on the prior ticket, with traders assigning Marco Rubio the highest implied probability at 30.5 percent due to his Senate tenure, foreign policy record, and cross-faction appeal. Lower odds for figures such as Marjorie Taylor Greene and J.D. Vance at 6 percent each highlight the premium on institutional experience and broader electability over narrower base mobilization. Key differentiators include prior executive or legislative roles, alignment with party priorities on trade and immigration, and capacity to unify donor and voter coalitions. Consolidation behind one contender would likely require strong primary polling, endorsements from leading presidential candidates, or standout performances in early debates and state conventions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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