Tom McClintock's commanding position in the CA-05 House election stems from the district's strong Republican lean, reflected in consistent Solid Republican ratings from outlets like the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. The longtime incumbent advanced easily through the June 2026 top-two primary with 61 percent of the vote against Democrat Michael Masuda, who received 24 percent, in a seat redrawn to favor Republicans further. McClintock's established record since 2009, fundraising edge, and the absence of competitive primary opposition have reinforced trader consensus around his reelection prospects ahead of the November 3 general election. Shifts could arise from unforeseen national political developments, candidate-specific events, or unusually high Democratic turnout in this low-profile contest.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$10,380 Vol.
$10,380 Vol.
2026/11/02
トム・マクリントック（共和党）
95%
マイケル・マスダ（民主党）
5%
$10,380 Vol.
$10,380 Vol.
2026/11/02
トム・マクリントック（共和党）
$6,757 Vol.
95%
マイケル・マスダ（民主党）
$3,623 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tom McClintock's commanding position in the CA-05 House election stems from the district's strong Republican lean, reflected in consistent Solid Republican ratings from outlets like the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. The longtime incumbent advanced easily through the June 2026 top-two primary with 61 percent of the vote against Democrat Michael Masuda, who received 24 percent, in a seat redrawn to favor Republicans further. McClintock's established record since 2009, fundraising edge, and the absence of competitive primary opposition have reinforced trader consensus around his reelection prospects ahead of the November 3 general election. Shifts could arise from unforeseen national political developments, candidate-specific events, or unusually high Democratic turnout in this low-profile contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
音量
$10,380終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tom McClintock's commanding position in the CA-05 House election stems from the district's strong Republican lean, reflected in consistent Solid Republican ratings from outlets like the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. The longtime incumbent advanced easily through the June 2026 top-two primary with 61 percent of the vote against Democrat Michael Masuda, who received 24 percent, in a seat redrawn to favor Republicans further. McClintock's established record since 2009, fundraising edge, and the absence of competitive primary opposition have reinforced trader consensus around his reelection prospects ahead of the November 3 general election. Shifts could arise from unforeseen national political developments, candidate-specific events, or unusually high Democratic turnout in this low-profile contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$10,380終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Tom McClintock's commanding position in the CA-05 House election stems from the district's strong Republican lean, reflected in consistent Solid Republican ratings from outlets like the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. The longtime incumbent advanced easily through the June 2026 top-two primary with 61 percent of the vote against Democrat Michael Masuda, who received 24 percent, in a seat redrawn to favor Republicans further. McClintock's established record since 2009, fundraising edge, and the absence of competitive primary opposition have reinforced trader consensus around his reelection prospects ahead of the November 3 general election. Shifts could arise from unforeseen national political developments, candidate-specific events, or unusually high Democratic turnout in this low-profile contest.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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