Mark Tedford secured the Republican nomination for Oklahoma’s 1st Congressional District after finishing first in the June 2026 primary and prevailing in the August runoff when opponent Jackson Lahmeyer withdrew. The open seat, vacated by Kevin Hern’s Senate bid, sits in a Tulsa-area district rated solidly Republican by multiple forecasters, with a partisan lean exceeding R+11. Tedford’s advantages include substantial fundraising exceeding $1.4 million, local endorsements from mayors and county officials, and name recognition as a sitting state representative. Democrat John Croisant, a Tulsa school board member and insurance agency owner who ran unopposed in his primary, has raised far less and faces structural barriers in a district that delivered Republican margins above 25 points in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 92% for Tedford reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as turnout shifts or unforeseen controversies could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$34,854 Vol.
$34,854 Vol.
2026/11/02
マーク・テッドフォード（共和党）
92%
ジョン・クロワザン（民主党）
8%
$34,854 Vol.
$34,854 Vol.
2026/11/02
マーク・テッドフォード（共和党）
$19,850 Vol.
92%
ジョン・クロワザン（民主党）
$15,004 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mark Tedford secured the Republican nomination for Oklahoma’s 1st Congressional District after finishing first in the June 2026 primary and prevailing in the August runoff when opponent Jackson Lahmeyer withdrew. The open seat, vacated by Kevin Hern’s Senate bid, sits in a Tulsa-area district rated solidly Republican by multiple forecasters, with a partisan lean exceeding R+11. Tedford’s advantages include substantial fundraising exceeding $1.4 million, local endorsements from mayors and county officials, and name recognition as a sitting state representative. Democrat John Croisant, a Tulsa school board member and insurance agency owner who ran unopposed in his primary, has raised far less and faces structural barriers in a district that delivered Republican margins above 25 points in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 92% for Tedford reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as turnout shifts or unforeseen controversies could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$34,854終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mark Tedford secured the Republican nomination for Oklahoma’s 1st Congressional District after finishing first in the June 2026 primary and prevailing in the August runoff when opponent Jackson Lahmeyer withdrew. The open seat, vacated by Kevin Hern’s Senate bid, sits in a Tulsa-area district rated solidly Republican by multiple forecasters, with a partisan lean exceeding R+11. Tedford’s advantages include substantial fundraising exceeding $1.4 million, local endorsements from mayors and county officials, and name recognition as a sitting state representative. Democrat John Croisant, a Tulsa school board member and insurance agency owner who ran unopposed in his primary, has raised far less and faces structural barriers in a district that delivered Republican margins above 25 points in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 92% for Tedford reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as turnout shifts or unforeseen controversies could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$34,854終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Mark Tedford secured the Republican nomination for Oklahoma’s 1st Congressional District after finishing first in the June 2026 primary and prevailing in the August runoff when opponent Jackson Lahmeyer withdrew. The open seat, vacated by Kevin Hern’s Senate bid, sits in a Tulsa-area district rated solidly Republican by multiple forecasters, with a partisan lean exceeding R+11. Tedford’s advantages include substantial fundraising exceeding $1.4 million, local endorsements from mayors and county officials, and name recognition as a sitting state representative. Democrat John Croisant, a Tulsa school board member and insurance agency owner who ran unopposed in his primary, has raised far less and faces structural barriers in a district that delivered Republican margins above 25 points in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 92% for Tedford reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as turnout shifts or unforeseen controversies could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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