Recent polling from institutes including Quaest, Real Time Big Data, Paraná Pesquisas, and IRG shows a tight contest for first place in Paraná’s two Senate seats, with Alexandre Curi (Republicanos), Deltan Dallagnol (Novo), and Filipe Barros (PL) clustered within margins of error in the low-to-mid 20s to low 30s, while Gleisi Hoffmann (PT) trails as the leading left option. Trader pricing reflects this fragmentation of center-right and conservative voters across multiple candidacies, sustained high undecided shares often exceeding 25-40 percent, and the absence of decisive late shifts. The race remains fluid ahead of the October ballot, where turnout patterns, regional strongholds, and any final consolidation among right-leaning voters could separate the frontrunners.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Alexandre Curi 34%
Deltan Dallagnol 30%
Filipe Barros 27%
Gleisi 8.8%
$40,217 Vol.
$40,217 Vol.
2026/10/04
Alexandre Curi
34%
Deltan Dallagnol
30%
Filipe Barros
27%
Gleisi
9%
Karen Guerreiro
1%
Dr. Rosinha
1%
Cristina Reis Graeml
<1%
Marcelo Marcelino
<1%
Joaquim do MLB
<1%
Alexandre Curi 34%
Deltan Dallagnol 30%
Filipe Barros 27%
Gleisi 8.8%
$40,217 Vol.
$40,217 Vol.
2026/10/04
Alexandre Curi
$9,143 Vol.
34%
Deltan Dallagnol
$21,400 Vol.
30%
Filipe Barros
$6,215 Vol.
27%
Gleisi
$1,337 Vol.
9%
Karen Guerreiro
$508 Vol.
1%
Dr. Rosinha
$355 Vol.
1%
Cristina Reis Graeml
$399 Vol.
<1%
Marcelo Marcelino
$570 Vol.
<1%
Joaquim do MLB
$388 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from institutes including Quaest, Real Time Big Data, Paraná Pesquisas, and IRG shows a tight contest for first place in Paraná’s two Senate seats, with Alexandre Curi (Republicanos), Deltan Dallagnol (Novo), and Filipe Barros (PL) clustered within margins of error in the low-to-mid 20s to low 30s, while Gleisi Hoffmann (PT) trails as the leading left option. Trader pricing reflects this fragmentation of center-right and conservative voters across multiple candidacies, sustained high undecided shares often exceeding 25-40 percent, and the absence of decisive late shifts. The race remains fluid ahead of the October ballot, where turnout patterns, regional strongholds, and any final consolidation among right-leaning voters could separate the frontrunners.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： Aug 17, 2026, 6:05 AM ET
音量
$40,217終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:05 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from institutes including Quaest, Real Time Big Data, Paraná Pesquisas, and IRG shows a tight contest for first place in Paraná’s two Senate seats, with Alexandre Curi (Republicanos), Deltan Dallagnol (Novo), and Filipe Barros (PL) clustered within margins of error in the low-to-mid 20s to low 30s, while Gleisi Hoffmann (PT) trails as the leading left option. Trader pricing reflects this fragmentation of center-right and conservative voters across multiple candidacies, sustained high undecided shares often exceeding 25-40 percent, and the absence of decisive late shifts. The race remains fluid ahead of the October ballot, where turnout patterns, regional strongholds, and any final consolidation among right-leaning voters could separate the frontrunners.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$40,217終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:05 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from institutes including Quaest, Real Time Big Data, Paraná Pesquisas, and IRG shows a tight contest for first place in Paraná’s two Senate seats, with Alexandre Curi (Republicanos), Deltan Dallagnol (Novo), and Filipe Barros (PL) clustered within margins of error in the low-to-mid 20s to low 30s, while Gleisi Hoffmann (PT) trails as the leading left option. Trader pricing reflects this fragmentation of center-right and conservative voters across multiple candidacies, sustained high undecided shares often exceeding 25-40 percent, and the absence of decisive late shifts. The race remains fluid ahead of the October ballot, where turnout patterns, regional strongholds, and any final consolidation among right-leaning voters could separate the frontrunners.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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