Nick Langworthy’s incumbency in New York’s 23rd congressional district, combined with its consistent Republican lean of roughly R+10 or stronger, anchors trader consensus at 91.5% for the Republican nominee ahead of the November 3 general election. Langworthy advanced unopposed through the June Republican primary while building a multi-million-dollar fundraising lead, and nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report and similar forecasters classify the seat as Solid Republican. Aaron Gies, who secured the Democratic nomination, faces structural headwinds in a district that has favored Republican candidates in recent cycles. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant national partisan shift, or unusually elevated Democratic turnout remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$24,471 Vol.
$24,471 Vol.
2026/11/02
ニック・ラングワーシー（共和党）
92%
アーロン・ギース（民主党）
9%
$24,471 Vol.
$24,471 Vol.
2026/11/02
ニック・ラングワーシー（共和党）
$11,093 Vol.
92%
アーロン・ギース（民主党）
$13,378 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Nick Langworthy’s incumbency in New York’s 23rd congressional district, combined with its consistent Republican lean of roughly R+10 or stronger, anchors trader consensus at 91.5% for the Republican nominee ahead of the November 3 general election. Langworthy advanced unopposed through the June Republican primary while building a multi-million-dollar fundraising lead, and nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report and similar forecasters classify the seat as Solid Republican. Aaron Gies, who secured the Democratic nomination, faces structural headwinds in a district that has favored Republican candidates in recent cycles. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant national partisan shift, or unusually elevated Democratic turnout remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$24,471終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Nick Langworthy’s incumbency in New York’s 23rd congressional district, combined with its consistent Republican lean of roughly R+10 or stronger, anchors trader consensus at 91.5% for the Republican nominee ahead of the November 3 general election. Langworthy advanced unopposed through the June Republican primary while building a multi-million-dollar fundraising lead, and nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report and similar forecasters classify the seat as Solid Republican. Aaron Gies, who secured the Democratic nomination, faces structural headwinds in a district that has favored Republican candidates in recent cycles. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant national partisan shift, or unusually elevated Democratic turnout remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$24,471終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Nick Langworthy’s incumbency in New York’s 23rd congressional district, combined with its consistent Republican lean of roughly R+10 or stronger, anchors trader consensus at 91.5% for the Republican nominee ahead of the November 3 general election. Langworthy advanced unopposed through the June Republican primary while building a multi-million-dollar fundraising lead, and nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report and similar forecasters classify the seat as Solid Republican. Aaron Gies, who secured the Democratic nomination, faces structural headwinds in a district that has favored Republican candidates in recent cycles. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant national partisan shift, or unusually elevated Democratic turnout remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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