Current forecast models from sources like DWD and international ensembles point to a minimum temperature in Munich on September 11 near 9–12 °C under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and negligible precipitation risk. This aligns with the climatological average low of 10.6 °C and keeps probabilities concentrated on single-digit to low-teen outcomes, while the elevated share for 15 °C or higher reflects residual uncertainty in overnight cooling rates and the lower weighting for 5 °C or below accounts for the low likelihood of strong cold advection this late in the season. Updated model runs and any shifts in high-pressure positioning will be the key near-term drivers of market adjustments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月11日のミュンヘンの最低気温は?
15℃以上 78%
5°C以下 28%
9℃ 26%
8°C 25%
5°C以下
28%
6°C
11%
7°C
22%
8°C
25%
9℃
26%
10°C
25%
11℃
20%
12°C
3%
13°C
14%
14℃
14%
15℃以上
78%
15℃以上 78%
5°C以下 28%
9℃ 26%
8°C 25%
5°C以下
28%
6°C
11%
7°C
22%
8°C
25%
9℃
26%
10°C
25%
11℃
20%
12°C
3%
13°C
14%
14℃
14%
15℃以上
78%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast models from sources like DWD and international ensembles point to a minimum temperature in Munich on September 11 near 9–12 °C under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and negligible precipitation risk. This aligns with the climatological average low of 10.6 °C and keeps probabilities concentrated on single-digit to low-teen outcomes, while the elevated share for 15 °C or higher reflects residual uncertainty in overnight cooling rates and the lower weighting for 5 °C or below accounts for the low likelihood of strong cold advection this late in the season. Updated model runs and any shifts in high-pressure positioning will be the key near-term drivers of market adjustments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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