CarMax’s closely balanced 51% market-implied probability of missing its Q2 fiscal 2027 earnings (reported September 29) reflects mixed historical performance and tempered analyst expectations ahead of the release. The company delivered a strong Q1 beat with $1.31 EPS versus $0.94–0.97 consensus, yet prior quarters showed volatility including a sharp miss in fiscal Q2 2026. Current consensus EPS estimates sit near $0.68–0.72 against $0.64 year-ago, with recent downward revisions such as Zacks lowering its forecast to $0.57. Key swing factors include used-vehicle gross profit trends, SG&A efficiency under the new four-pillar strategy, and any updates on cost-saving targets or financing penetration that could shift sentiment around the print.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
55% 確率
新規
新規
2026/09/29
はい
55% 確率
新規
新規
2026/09/29
As of market creation, CarMax is estimated to release earnings on September 29, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for CarMax's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.72 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if CarMax reports GAAP EPS greater than $0.72 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If CarMax releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets reflect the selected street consensus estimate for GAAP EPS as of market creation.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
CarMax’s closely balanced 51% market-implied probability of missing its Q2 fiscal 2027 earnings (reported September 29) reflects mixed historical performance and tempered analyst expectations ahead of the release. The company delivered a strong Q1 beat with $1.31 EPS versus $0.94–0.97 consensus, yet prior quarters showed volatility including a sharp miss in fiscal Q2 2026. Current consensus EPS estimates sit near $0.68–0.72 against $0.64 year-ago, with recent downward revisions such as Zacks lowering its forecast to $0.57. Key swing factors include used-vehicle gross profit trends, SG&A efficiency under the new four-pillar strategy, and any updates on cost-saving targets or financing penetration that could shift sentiment around the print.
As of market creation, CarMax is estimated to release earnings on September 29, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for CarMax's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.72 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if CarMax reports GAAP EPS greater than $0.72 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If CarMax releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets reflect the selected street consensus estimate for GAAP EPS as of market creation.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
If CarMax releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets reflect the selected street consensus estimate for GAAP EPS as of market creation.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
マーケット開始日： Sep 16, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
音量
$1,370終了日
2026/09/29マーケット開始日
Sep 16, 2026, 3:57 PM ETAs of market creation, CarMax is estimated to release earnings on September 29, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for CarMax's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.72 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if CarMax reports GAAP EPS greater than $0.72 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If CarMax releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets reflect the selected street consensus estimate for GAAP EPS as of market creation.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
CarMax’s closely balanced 51% market-implied probability of missing its Q2 fiscal 2027 earnings (reported September 29) reflects mixed historical performance and tempered analyst expectations ahead of the release. The company delivered a strong Q1 beat with $1.31 EPS versus $0.94–0.97 consensus, yet prior quarters showed volatility including a sharp miss in fiscal Q2 2026. Current consensus EPS estimates sit near $0.68–0.72 against $0.64 year-ago, with recent downward revisions such as Zacks lowering its forecast to $0.57. Key swing factors include used-vehicle gross profit trends, SG&A efficiency under the new four-pillar strategy, and any updates on cost-saving targets or financing penetration that could shift sentiment around the print.
As of market creation, CarMax is estimated to release earnings on September 29, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for CarMax's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.72 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if CarMax reports GAAP EPS greater than $0.72 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If CarMax releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets reflect the selected street consensus estimate for GAAP EPS as of market creation.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
If CarMax releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets reflect the selected street consensus estimate for GAAP EPS as of market creation.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
音量
$1,370終了日
2026/09/29マーケット開始日
Sep 16, 2026, 3:57 PM ETCarMax’s closely balanced 51% market-implied probability of missing its Q2 fiscal 2027 earnings (reported September 29) reflects mixed historical performance and tempered analyst expectations ahead of the release. The company delivered a strong Q1 beat with $1.31 EPS versus $0.94–0.97 consensus, yet prior quarters showed volatility including a sharp miss in fiscal Q2 2026. Current consensus EPS estimates sit near $0.68–0.72 against $0.64 year-ago, with recent downward revisions such as Zacks lowering its forecast to $0.57. Key swing factors include used-vehicle gross profit trends, SG&A efficiency under the new four-pillar strategy, and any updates on cost-saving targets or financing penetration that could shift sentiment around the print.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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