Anthropic's confidential SEC filing in early June and active preparations for an October 2026 Nasdaq debut, potentially at a $2 trillion valuation, have anchored trader consensus that it will reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. The company, developer of the Claude large language model series, benefits from rapid revenue growth and a $15 billion credit facility nearing completion, positioning it for marketing in mid-October. OpenAI, which filed confidentially a week later, has shifted toward a 2027 timeline after advisers flagged challenges meeting CEO Sam Altman's $1 trillion valuation target amid market volatility following the SpaceX IPO. While Anthropic's lead appears decisive, last-minute regulatory reviews, shifts in AI sector sentiment, or unexpected infrastructure cost disclosures could still alter sequencing before either listing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Anthropic
96% 確率
$340,096 Vol.
$340,096 Vol.
2027/12/30
Anthropic
96% 確率
$340,096 Vol.
$340,096 Vol.
2027/12/30
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's confidential SEC filing in early June and active preparations for an October 2026 Nasdaq debut, potentially at a $2 trillion valuation, have anchored trader consensus that it will reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. The company, developer of the Claude large language model series, benefits from rapid revenue growth and a $15 billion credit facility nearing completion, positioning it for marketing in mid-October. OpenAI, which filed confidentially a week later, has shifted toward a 2027 timeline after advisers flagged challenges meeting CEO Sam Altman's $1 trillion valuation target amid market volatility following the SpaceX IPO. While Anthropic's lead appears decisive, last-minute regulatory reviews, shifts in AI sector sentiment, or unexpected infrastructure cost disclosures could still alter sequencing before either listing.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
音量
$340,096終了日
2027/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's confidential SEC filing in early June and active preparations for an October 2026 Nasdaq debut, potentially at a $2 trillion valuation, have anchored trader consensus that it will reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. The company, developer of the Claude large language model series, benefits from rapid revenue growth and a $15 billion credit facility nearing completion, positioning it for marketing in mid-October. OpenAI, which filed confidentially a week later, has shifted toward a 2027 timeline after advisers flagged challenges meeting CEO Sam Altman's $1 trillion valuation target amid market volatility following the SpaceX IPO. While Anthropic's lead appears decisive, last-minute regulatory reviews, shifts in AI sector sentiment, or unexpected infrastructure cost disclosures could still alter sequencing before either listing.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$340,096終了日
2027/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Anthropic's confidential SEC filing in early June and active preparations for an October 2026 Nasdaq debut, potentially at a $2 trillion valuation, have anchored trader consensus that it will reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. The company, developer of the Claude large language model series, benefits from rapid revenue growth and a $15 billion credit facility nearing completion, positioning it for marketing in mid-October. OpenAI, which filed confidentially a week later, has shifted toward a 2027 timeline after advisers flagged challenges meeting CEO Sam Altman's $1 trillion valuation target amid market volatility following the SpaceX IPO. While Anthropic's lead appears decisive, last-minute regulatory reviews, shifts in AI sector sentiment, or unexpected infrastructure cost disclosures could still alter sequencing before either listing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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