Tesla shares trade near $364 amid modest weekly volatility, with the week of September 21 offering no immediate earnings or major product events to shift the distribution. Recent sessions reflect mixed sentiment: positive notes on Q3 delivery forecasts from some analysts and expanded Megacharger infrastructure contrast with Goldman Sachs trimming estimates and broader concerns over elevated valuations near 270-340x trailing earnings. The tight clustering of probabilities across $340-$385 ranges captures trader views on ongoing swings driven by EV demand signals, AI investment updates, and macro risk appetite, with analyst price targets averaging near $389 providing a modest upward anchor but limited conviction for a decisive breakout in the short term.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$385超 17%
$360~$365 14%
$365〜$370 14%
$355~$360 14%
$340未満
7%
$340~$345
11%
$345~$350
12%
$350~$355
9%
$355~$360
14%
$360~$365
14%
$365〜$370
14%
$370-$375
13%
$375~$380
12%
$380~$385
12%
$385超
17%
$385超 17%
$360~$365 14%
$365〜$370 14%
$355~$360 14%
$340未満
7%
$340~$345
11%
$345~$350
12%
$350~$355
9%
$355~$360
14%
$360~$365
14%
$365〜$370
14%
$370-$375
13%
$375~$380
12%
$380~$385
12%
$385超
17%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.
マーケット開始日: Sep 18, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.
Tesla shares trade near $364 amid modest weekly volatility, with the week of September 21 offering no immediate earnings or major product events to shift the distribution. Recent sessions reflect mixed sentiment: positive notes on Q3 delivery forecasts from some analysts and expanded Megacharger infrastructure contrast with Goldman Sachs trimming estimates and broader concerns over elevated valuations near 270-340x trailing earnings. The tight clustering of probabilities across $340-$385 ranges captures trader views on ongoing swings driven by EV demand signals, AI investment updates, and macro risk appetite, with analyst price targets averaging near $389 providing a modest upward anchor but limited conviction for a decisive breakout in the short term.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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