Anthropic’s projected $2 trillion-plus IPO valuation, fueled by annualized revenue surging toward $100 billion by year-end, drives its 60.4% market-implied lead for the largest 2026 debut. The company confidentially filed its S-1 in June and plans to release its prospectus shortly after Labor Day, targeting a Nasdaq listing in late September or October at levels well above SpaceX’s realized $1.77 trillion June offering. Trader consensus reflects Anthropic’s 10x revenue expansion and first operating profit versus SpaceX’s completed listing and xAI’s absorption into that entity, which removes it as a standalone contender. OpenAI’s lower 1.8% odds align with its delayed timeline into 2027, while other names show negligible activity. Key catalysts include the upcoming public filing and any Fed-driven market volatility affecting pricing windows.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Anthropic 60.4%
スペースX 39%
OpenAI 1.9%
Discord <1%
$5,968,577 Vol.
$5,968,577 Vol.
2026/12/30
Anthropic
60%
スペースX
39%
OpenAI
2%
Discord
<1%
バイトダンス
<1%
Stripe
<1%
クラーケン
<1%
SHEIN
<1%
Waymo
<1%
Revolut
<1%
Perplexity AI
<1%
Databricks
<1%
Anthropic 60.4%
スペースX 39%
OpenAI 1.9%
Discord <1%
$5,968,577 Vol.
$5,968,577 Vol.
2026/12/30
Anthropic
$1,096,622 Vol.
60%
スペースX
$872,773 Vol.
39%
OpenAI
$552,769 Vol.
2%
Discord
$182,734 Vol.
<1%
バイトダンス
$213,746 Vol.
<1%
Stripe
$134,177 Vol.
<1%
クラーケン
$656,964 Vol.
<1%
SHEIN
$583,615 Vol.
<1%
Waymo
$318,150 Vol.
<1%
Revolut
$633,687 Vol.
<1%
Perplexity AI
$108,136 Vol.
<1%
Databricks
$615,205 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic’s projected $2 trillion-plus IPO valuation, fueled by annualized revenue surging toward $100 billion by year-end, drives its 60.4% market-implied lead for the largest 2026 debut. The company confidentially filed its S-1 in June and plans to release its prospectus shortly after Labor Day, targeting a Nasdaq listing in late September or October at levels well above SpaceX’s realized $1.77 trillion June offering. Trader consensus reflects Anthropic’s 10x revenue expansion and first operating profit versus SpaceX’s completed listing and xAI’s absorption into that entity, which removes it as a standalone contender. OpenAI’s lower 1.8% odds align with its delayed timeline into 2027, while other names show negligible activity. Key catalysts include the upcoming public filing and any Fed-driven market volatility affecting pricing windows.
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
マーケット開始日： Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
音量
$5,968,577終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic’s projected $2 trillion-plus IPO valuation, fueled by annualized revenue surging toward $100 billion by year-end, drives its 60.4% market-implied lead for the largest 2026 debut. The company confidentially filed its S-1 in June and plans to release its prospectus shortly after Labor Day, targeting a Nasdaq listing in late September or October at levels well above SpaceX’s realized $1.77 trillion June offering. Trader consensus reflects Anthropic’s 10x revenue expansion and first operating profit versus SpaceX’s completed listing and xAI’s absorption into that entity, which removes it as a standalone contender. OpenAI’s lower 1.8% odds align with its delayed timeline into 2027, while other names show negligible activity. Key catalysts include the upcoming public filing and any Fed-driven market volatility affecting pricing windows.
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
音量
$5,968,577終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Anthropic’s projected $2 trillion-plus IPO valuation, fueled by annualized revenue surging toward $100 billion by year-end, drives its 60.4% market-implied lead for the largest 2026 debut. The company confidentially filed its S-1 in June and plans to release its prospectus shortly after Labor Day, targeting a Nasdaq listing in late September or October at levels well above SpaceX’s realized $1.77 trillion June offering. Trader consensus reflects Anthropic’s 10x revenue expansion and first operating profit versus SpaceX’s completed listing and xAI’s absorption into that entity, which removes it as a standalone contender. OpenAI’s lower 1.8% odds align with its delayed timeline into 2027, while other names show negligible activity. Key catalysts include the upcoming public filing and any Fed-driven market volatility affecting pricing windows.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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