Israeli operations in southern Lebanon remain centered on consolidating control of a buffer security zone roughly 10 km deep, following the early September capture of the strategic Ali al-Taher Ridge near Nabatieh and clearance of associated Hezbollah tunnels. Defense Minister Israel Katz stated that this marks completion of that effort, with no territorial ambitions and no plans for further northward movement, though Israel will stay until Hezbollah is disarmed. Ongoing exchanges, including Hezbollah drone attacks and Israeli airstrikes on infrastructure in the south, have continued amid a fraying June framework agreement aimed at Lebanese army deployment and phased Israeli withdrawals. Past Israeli strikes have targeted Beirut suburbs such as Dahieh, but ground forces have not advanced toward the capital. Trader assessments of an entry by any near-term deadline reflect these limited operational objectives, persistent diplomatic constraints tied to U.S.-brokered talks, and the absence of public signals indicating an expanded campaign.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$139,272 Vol.
2026/09/30
9月30日
2%
$139,272 Vol.
9月30日
$223 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.Israeli operations in southern Lebanon remain centered on consolidating control of a buffer security zone roughly 10 km deep, following the early September capture of the strategic Ali al-Taher Ridge near Nabatieh and clearance of associated Hezbollah tunnels. Defense Minister Israel Katz stated that this marks completion of that effort, with no territorial ambitions and no plans for further northward movement, though Israel will stay until Hezbollah is disarmed. Ongoing exchanges, including Hezbollah drone attacks and Israeli airstrikes on infrastructure in the south, have continued amid a fraying June framework agreement aimed at Lebanese army deployment and phased Israeli withdrawals. Past Israeli strikes have targeted Beirut suburbs such as Dahieh, but ground forces have not advanced toward the capital. Trader assessments of an entry by any near-term deadline reflect these limited operational objectives, persistent diplomatic constraints tied to U.S.-brokered talks, and the absence of public signals indicating an expanded campaign.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
マーケット開始日： Aug 26, 2026, 10:27 AM ET
音量
$139,272終了日
2026/09/30マーケット開始日
Aug 26, 2026, 10:27 AM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.Israeli operations in southern Lebanon remain centered on consolidating control of a buffer security zone roughly 10 km deep, following the early September capture of the strategic Ali al-Taher Ridge near Nabatieh and clearance of associated Hezbollah tunnels. Defense Minister Israel Katz stated that this marks completion of that effort, with no territorial ambitions and no plans for further northward movement, though Israel will stay until Hezbollah is disarmed. Ongoing exchanges, including Hezbollah drone attacks and Israeli airstrikes on infrastructure in the south, have continued amid a fraying June framework agreement aimed at Lebanese army deployment and phased Israeli withdrawals. Past Israeli strikes have targeted Beirut suburbs such as Dahieh, but ground forces have not advanced toward the capital. Trader assessments of an entry by any near-term deadline reflect these limited operational objectives, persistent diplomatic constraints tied to U.S.-brokered talks, and the absence of public signals indicating an expanded campaign.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
音量
$139,272終了日
2026/09/30マーケット開始日
Aug 26, 2026, 10:27 AM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Israeli operations in southern Lebanon remain centered on consolidating control of a buffer security zone roughly 10 km deep, following the early September capture of the strategic Ali al-Taher Ridge near Nabatieh and clearance of associated Hezbollah tunnels. Defense Minister Israel Katz stated that this marks completion of that effort, with no territorial ambitions and no plans for further northward movement, though Israel will stay until Hezbollah is disarmed. Ongoing exchanges, including Hezbollah drone attacks and Israeli airstrikes on infrastructure in the south, have continued amid a fraying June framework agreement aimed at Lebanese army deployment and phased Israeli withdrawals. Past Israeli strikes have targeted Beirut suburbs such as Dahieh, but ground forces have not advanced toward the capital. Trader assessments of an entry by any near-term deadline reflect these limited operational objectives, persistent diplomatic constraints tied to U.S.-brokered talks, and the absence of public signals indicating an expanded campaign.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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