Cold air advection and widespread precipitation are suppressing daytime heating in Chengdu on September 10, driving market-implied odds toward a 20–23 °C maximum. A recent cold front has produced northerly winds and persistent cloud cover, sharply reducing solar insolation and yielding cumulative cooling of 5–7 °C since early September. Official guidance from monitoring agencies places the likely peak near 21–22 °C under overcast, rainy conditions that limit convective warming. Model consensus shows only modest spread around this range, reflecting uncertainty in exact rain timing and boundary-layer moisture. Historical September baselines for the Sichuan Basin average several degrees warmer under clearer skies, underscoring how the current synoptic setup favors the lower end of recent norms. Updated forecasts and real-time observations will refine the precise maximum before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月10日の成都の最高気温は？
9月10日の成都の最高気温は？
22℃ 32%
21°C 24%
23℃ 22%
20°C 13%
新規
$11,730 Vol.
新規
$11,730 Vol.
2026/09/10
18℃以下
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
13%
21°C
24%
22℃
32%
23℃
22%
24°C
7%
25℃
5%
26℃
1%
27°C
<1%
28℃以上
<1%
22℃ 32%
21°C 24%
23℃ 22%
20°C 13%
新規
$11,730 Vol.
新規
$11,730 Vol.
2026/09/10
18℃以下
$375 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,199 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$885 Vol.
13%
21°C
$1,569 Vol.
24%
22℃
$1,956 Vol.
32%
23℃
$1,054 Vol.
22%
24°C
$855 Vol.
7%
25℃
$880 Vol.
5%
26℃
$471 Vol.
1%
27°C
$1,274 Vol.
<1%
28℃以上
$1,212 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Cold air advection and widespread precipitation are suppressing daytime heating in Chengdu on September 10, driving market-implied odds toward a 20–23 °C maximum. A recent cold front has produced northerly winds and persistent cloud cover, sharply reducing solar insolation and yielding cumulative cooling of 5–7 °C since early September. Official guidance from monitoring agencies places the likely peak near 21–22 °C under overcast, rainy conditions that limit convective warming. Model consensus shows only modest spread around this range, reflecting uncertainty in exact rain timing and boundary-layer moisture. Historical September baselines for the Sichuan Basin average several degrees warmer under clearer skies, underscoring how the current synoptic setup favors the lower end of recent norms. Updated forecasts and real-time observations will refine the precise maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
音量
$11,730終了日
2026/09/10マーケット開始日
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Cold air advection and widespread precipitation are suppressing daytime heating in Chengdu on September 10, driving market-implied odds toward a 20–23 °C maximum. A recent cold front has produced northerly winds and persistent cloud cover, sharply reducing solar insolation and yielding cumulative cooling of 5–7 °C since early September. Official guidance from monitoring agencies places the likely peak near 21–22 °C under overcast, rainy conditions that limit convective warming. Model consensus shows only modest spread around this range, reflecting uncertainty in exact rain timing and boundary-layer moisture. Historical September baselines for the Sichuan Basin average several degrees warmer under clearer skies, underscoring how the current synoptic setup favors the lower end of recent norms. Updated forecasts and real-time observations will refine the precise maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$11,730終了日
2026/09/10マーケット開始日
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETCold air advection and widespread precipitation are suppressing daytime heating in Chengdu on September 10, driving market-implied odds toward a 20–23 °C maximum. A recent cold front has produced northerly winds and persistent cloud cover, sharply reducing solar insolation and yielding cumulative cooling of 5–7 °C since early September. Official guidance from monitoring agencies places the likely peak near 21–22 °C under overcast, rainy conditions that limit convective warming. Model consensus shows only modest spread around this range, reflecting uncertainty in exact rain timing and boundary-layer moisture. Historical September baselines for the Sichuan Basin average several degrees warmer under clearer skies, underscoring how the current synoptic setup favors the lower end of recent norms. Updated forecasts and real-time observations will refine the precise maximum before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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