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icon for 10月の連邦準備制度理事会の決定は？
エコノミー·FED

10月の連邦準備制度理事会の決定は？

icon for 10月の連邦準備制度理事会の決定は？
エコノミー·FED

10月の連邦準備制度理事会の決定は？

10月 28

12月 9

1月 27, 2027

10月 28

12月 9

1月 27, 2027

25ベーシスポイント引き上げ 55%

据え置き 44%

50ベーシスポイント以上の引き上げ <1%

25ベーシスポイント引き下げ <1%

Polymarket

$7,702,738 Vol.

25ベーシスポイント引き上げ 55%

据え置き 44%

50ベーシスポイント以上の引き上げ <1%

25ベーシスポイント引き下げ <1%

Polymarket

$7,702,738 Vol.

50ベーシスポイント以上の引き下げ

$1,094,139 Vol.

<1%

25ベーシスポイント引き下げ

$1,508,792 Vol.

1%

据え置き

$2,109,518 Vol.

44%

25ベーシスポイント引き上げ

$1,740,274 Vol.

55%

50ベーシスポイント以上の引き上げ

$1,250,015 Vol.

1%

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Recent inflation data showing a 3.4% year-over-year CPI rise in August 2026, combined with the Federal Reserve's September 16 decision to hike the federal funds target range by 25 basis points to 3.75%-4.00%, have shifted trader expectations toward further tightening. The accompanying dot plot revealed a 16-2 majority of officials projecting at least one additional increase by year-end, underscoring concerns over persistent price pressures above the 2% target. This hawkish stance, reinforced by upward revisions to the neutral rate estimate, positions a 25-basis-point October hike as the consensus view in futures and prediction markets, while the narrow gap with no-change odds reflects uncertainty ahead of the October 27-28 FOMC meeting and upcoming labor and inflation releases. Market-implied probabilities aggregate real-capital bets on the Fed's data-dependent path.

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.

This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting.

If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.

The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
音量
$7,702,738
終了日
2026/10/28
マーケット開始日
Jun 17, 2026, 7:21 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Recent inflation data showing a 3.4% year-over-year CPI rise in August 2026, combined with the Federal Reserve's September 16 decision to hike the federal funds target range by 25 basis points to 3.75%-4.00%, have shifted trader expectations toward further tightening. The accompanying dot plot revealed a 16-2 majority of officials projecting at least one additional increase by year-end, underscoring concerns over persistent price pressures above the 2% target. This hawkish stance, reinforced by upward revisions to the neutral rate estimate, positions a 25-basis-point October hike as the consensus view in futures and prediction markets, while the narrow gap with no-change odds reflects uncertainty ahead of the October 27-28 FOMC meeting and upcoming labor and inflation releases. Market-implied probabilities aggregate real-capital bets on the Fed's data-dependent path.

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.

This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting.

If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.

The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
音量
$7,702,738
終了日
2026/10/28
マーケット開始日
Jun 17, 2026, 7:21 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...

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よくある質問

「10月の連邦準備制度理事会の決定は？」はPolymarket上の5個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「25ベーシスポイント引き上げ」で55%、次いで「据え置き」が44%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、55¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に55%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「10月の連邦準備制度理事会の決定は？」は$7.7 millionの総取引量を生み出しています（Jun 17, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「10月の連邦準備制度理事会の決定は？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている5個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「10月の連邦準備制度理事会の決定は？」の現在のフロントランナーは「25ベーシスポイント引き上げ」で55%であり、市場がこの結果に55%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「据え置き」で44%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

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