President Donald Trump’s continued focus on legislative priorities, midterm campaigning, and foreign policy decisions through September 2026 has reinforced trader expectations that he will complete his term without resigning before 2027. No verified health developments, scandals, or institutional pressures have emerged that align with historical resignation precedents such as Nixon’s 1974 exit. Speculation from critics about cognitive concerns or midterm fallout remains unsubstantiated by primary sources or official statements, sustaining the 96.8% implied probability on “No.” Realistic shifts could still arise from a sudden medical event, decisive midterm losses prompting a negotiated transition to Vice President Vance, or an unforeseen legal development, though none currently register as probable within the remaining months of 2026.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
3% probabilità
$23,487 Vol.
$23,487 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
3% probabilità
$23,487 Vol.
$23,487 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Donald Trump’s continued focus on legislative priorities, midterm campaigning, and foreign policy decisions through September 2026 has reinforced trader expectations that he will complete his term without resigning before 2027. No verified health developments, scandals, or institutional pressures have emerged that align with historical resignation precedents such as Nixon’s 1974 exit. Speculation from critics about cognitive concerns or midterm fallout remains unsubstantiated by primary sources or official statements, sustaining the 96.8% implied probability on “No.” Realistic shifts could still arise from a sudden medical event, decisive midterm losses prompting a negotiated transition to Vice President Vance, or an unforeseen legal development, though none currently register as probable within the remaining months of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercato aperto: Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ET
Volume
$23,487Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Donald Trump’s continued focus on legislative priorities, midterm campaigning, and foreign policy decisions through September 2026 has reinforced trader expectations that he will complete his term without resigning before 2027. No verified health developments, scandals, or institutional pressures have emerged that align with historical resignation precedents such as Nixon’s 1974 exit. Speculation from critics about cognitive concerns or midterm fallout remains unsubstantiated by primary sources or official statements, sustaining the 96.8% implied probability on “No.” Realistic shifts could still arise from a sudden medical event, decisive midterm losses prompting a negotiated transition to Vice President Vance, or an unforeseen legal development, though none currently register as probable within the remaining months of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$23,487Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump’s continued focus on legislative priorities, midterm campaigning, and foreign policy decisions through September 2026 has reinforced trader expectations that he will complete his term without resigning before 2027. No verified health developments, scandals, or institutional pressures have emerged that align with historical resignation precedents such as Nixon’s 1974 exit. Speculation from critics about cognitive concerns or midterm fallout remains unsubstantiated by primary sources or official statements, sustaining the 96.8% implied probability on “No.” Realistic shifts could still arise from a sudden medical event, decisive midterm losses prompting a negotiated transition to Vice President Vance, or an unforeseen legal development, though none currently register as probable within the remaining months of 2026.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti