Traders assign a 99% implied probability that Donald Trump remains president through September 30, 2026, reflecting the structural stability of the U.S. presidential term and the absence of any recent developments that would trigger succession under the 25th Amendment, resignation, or removal. With roughly three weeks remaining before the resolution date, no credible reports indicate health concerns, cabinet actions, or congressional moves that could alter the timeline. Historical patterns show presidents rarely depart office abruptly absent major crises, and current conditions lack the necessary catalysts. Realistic scenarios that could still shift outcomes include a sudden medical emergency requiring invocation of succession procedures or an unforeseen scandal prompting resignation, though both remain low-probability events given the short window and lack of supporting indicators.