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icon for Chi perdonerà Trump prima del 2027?

Chi perdonerà Trump prima del 2027?

icon for Chi perdonerà Trump prima del 2027?

Chi perdonerà Trump prima del 2027?

$456,688 Vol.

31 dic 2026
Polymarket

$456,688 Vol.

Polymarket

Stefan Brodie

$2,809 Vol.

21%

Roger Stone

$7,846 Vol.

18%

Donald Brodie

$3,953 Vol.

17%

Keonne Rodriguez

$17,534 Vol.

15%

Ryan Salame

$31,464 Vol.

12%

Daniel Penny

$508 Vol.

11%

Steve Bannon

$8,029 Vol.

9%

Joe Exotic

$5,369 Vol.

9%

Eric Adams

$1,101 Vol.

9%

Roger Ver

$1,617 Vol.

8%

Young Thug

$4,702 Vol.

7%

Matt Gaetz

$5,163 Vol.

7%

Bob Menendez

$295 Vol.

6%

Julian Assange

$4,218 Vol.

6%

Martin Shkreli

$30,439 Vol.

6%

Nicolás Maduro

$10,351 Vol.

5%

Elizabeth Holmes

$3,607 Vol.

5%

Ghislaine Maxwell

$22,849 Vol.

5%

Diddy

$30,169 Vol.

4%

Edward Snowden

$3,183 Vol.

4%

Derek Chauvin

$26,571 Vol.

4%

Sam Bankman-Fried

$135,732 Vol.

4%

Antoine Massey

$2,480 Vol.

4%

Andrew Tate

$1,035 Vol.

3%

Se stesso

$13,648 Vol.

3%

Do Kwon

$23,621 Vol.

3%

Hunter Biden

$5,483 Vol.

3%

Elon Musk

$52,917 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 16, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 4, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump has issued over 1,700 clemency actions since January 2025, including a blanket pardon for roughly 1,500 January 6 defendants on his first day back in office and additional grants for fake electors in late 2025. Recent developments show continued grants in 2026 favoring politically connected recipients who bypass traditional DOJ guidelines, often through allies or influencers, with examples including drug offenders, a Philadelphia union leader, and associates linked to prominent figures. This pattern reflects executive discretion exercised via personal networks rather than formal processes. Traders assess candidates based on demonstrated proximity to the administration, lobbying activity, and timing before the December 31, 2026 resolution, as further actions remain possible ahead of year-end without scheduled milestones that would force broader releases.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$456,688
Data di fine
1 gen 2027
Mercato aperto
Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ET

Risolutore

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 16, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 4, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump has issued over 1,700 clemency actions since January 2025, including a blanket pardon for roughly 1,500 January 6 defendants on his first day back in office and additional grants for fake electors in late 2025. Recent developments show continued grants in 2026 favoring politically connected recipients who bypass traditional DOJ guidelines, often through allies or influencers, with examples including drug offenders, a Philadelphia union leader, and associates linked to prominent figures. This pattern reflects executive discretion exercised via personal networks rather than formal processes. Traders assess candidates based on demonstrated proximity to the administration, lobbying activity, and timing before the December 31, 2026 resolution, as further actions remain possible ahead of year-end without scheduled milestones that would force broader releases.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$456,688
Data di fine
1 gen 2027
Mercato aperto
Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ET

Risolutore

0x65070BE91...

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Domande frequenti

"Chi perdonerà Trump prima del 2027?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 28 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Stefan Brodie" a 21%, seguito da "Roger Stone" a 18%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 21¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 21% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Chi perdonerà Trump prima del 2027?" ha generato $456.7K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Nov 18, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Chi perdonerà Trump prima del 2027?", esplora i 28 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Chi perdonerà Trump prima del 2027?" è "Stefan Brodie" a 21%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 21% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Roger Stone" a 18%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Chi perdonerà Trump prima del 2027?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.