Recent polling aggregates place President Trump’s job approval in the high 37% to low 40% range, with RealClearPolitics at 39.6%, the New York Times at 38%, and the Silver Bulletin at 38.2% as of early September 2026. This positioning reflects a steady decline from the mid-40s at the start of the second term, driven primarily by sustained voter dissatisfaction with economic conditions, inflation, and the cost of living, alongside ongoing effects from U.S. involvement in the Iran conflict. Some individual surveys have recorded new lows near 32-33% in recent weeks, while others such as Rasmussen show figures closer to 42%. With no major scheduled events or data releases expected on September 11 itself, traders see the narrow band around 38% as the most probable outcome based on the current trajectory of national surveys.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato38,0–38,4 44%
38,5–38,9 30%
37,5–37,9 11%
39,0–39,4 10%
<37,5
<1%
37,5–37,9
13%
38,0–38,4
44%
38,5–38,9
30%
39,0–39,4
10%
39,5+
1%
38,0–38,4 44%
38,5–38,9 30%
37,5–37,9 11%
39,0–39,4 10%
<37,5
<1%
37,5–37,9
13%
38,0–38,4
44%
38,5–38,9
30%
39,0–39,4
10%
39,5+
1%
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercato aperto: Sep 7, 2026, 12:03 PM ET
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling aggregates place President Trump’s job approval in the high 37% to low 40% range, with RealClearPolitics at 39.6%, the New York Times at 38%, and the Silver Bulletin at 38.2% as of early September 2026. This positioning reflects a steady decline from the mid-40s at the start of the second term, driven primarily by sustained voter dissatisfaction with economic conditions, inflation, and the cost of living, alongside ongoing effects from U.S. involvement in the Iran conflict. Some individual surveys have recorded new lows near 32-33% in recent weeks, while others such as Rasmussen show figures closer to 42%. With no major scheduled events or data releases expected on September 11 itself, traders see the narrow band around 38% as the most probable outcome based on the current trajectory of national surveys.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato



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